Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONNIE-22
in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Aruba, Netherlands Antilles, Trinidad and Tobago
30 Jun 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONNIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (30 Jun 02:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Costa Rica)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.6 m 78 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 137 km/h 0.7 m 695 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

137 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormNicaragua, Costa Rica15,449
+
Nicaragua7,617 
Costa Rica7,831 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Trinidad and Tobago
GREEN 6 29 Jun 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 29 Jun 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 Jun 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 29 Jun 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 30 Jun 2022 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmCosta Rica93,463 
100-250 mmNicaragua, Costa Rica, Colombia4,740,419
+
Nicaragua886,019 
Colombia196,066 
Costa Rica3,658,333 
50-100 mmMexico, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Honduras, Nicaragua, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Brazil11,021,576
+
Mexico684,169 
Puerto Rico189,742 
Virgin Islands, U.S.49,714 
Saint Kitts and Nevis34,986 
Antigua and Barbuda90,007 
Montserrat5,124 
Honduras38,243 
Nicaragua1,768,926 
Martinique359,693 
Saint Lucia159,169 
Colombia4,680,583 
Venezuela2,143,828 
Costa Rica640,974 
Trinidad and Tobago501 
Panama170,214 
Brazil5,694 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 27 Jun 2022 18:00 159 -
- - - - - Mexico, Cuba
Blue 2 28 Jun 2022 00:00 162 -
- - - - - Mexico, Panama, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 3 28 Jun 2022 06:00 136 8 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 4 28 Jun 2022 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Guyana, Venezuela
Blue 5 28 Jun 2022 18:00 127 -
- - - - - Trinidad and Tobago
Blue 6 29 Jun 2022 00:00 95 -
- - - - - Venezuela
Blue 7 29 Jun 2022 06:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 Jun 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Venezuela, French Guiana
Blue 9 29 Jun 2022 18:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 30 Jun 2022 00:00 334 4.8 million
- - - Mexico, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Honduras, Nicaragua, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Colombia, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Trinidad and Tobago, Panama, Brazil




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC