Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
17 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
Exposed population 770 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (17 Sep 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 90 km/h 0.7 m 373 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 234 km/h n.a. 1075 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

234 km/h

Up to 3.2 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Puerto Rico765,093 
Tropical StormDominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe3,233,335
+
Dominican Republic34,442 
British Virgin Islands30,117 
Puerto Rico2,837,428 
Virgin Islands, U.S.106,290 
Anguilla2,962 
Saint-Martin41,651 
Sint Maarten38,042 
Saint-Barthélemy10,440 
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis55,571 
Montserrat5,124 
Guadeloupe64,799 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 148 -
- - - - - Saba, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 202 770 thousand
- - - - Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmPuerto Rico10,906 
500-750 mmBritish Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico125,496
+
British Virgin Islands2,624 
Puerto Rico122,871 
250-500 mmBritish Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.1,016,919
+
British Virgin Islands26,995 
Puerto Rico989,594 
Virgin Islands, U.S.328 
100-250 mmDominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Montserrat, Guadeloupe4,277,104
+
Dominican Republic1,918,639 
British Virgin Islands496 
Puerto Rico2,241,145 
Virgin Islands, U.S.105,962 
Saba2,013 
Montserrat5,124 
Guadeloupe3,723 
50-100 mmDominican Republic, Haiti, Puerto Rico, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe2,245,029
+
Dominican Republic1,469,113 
Haiti212,837 
Puerto Rico318,720 
Anguilla14,610 
Saint-Martin41,651 
Sint Maarten39,623 
Saint-Barthélemy10,440 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis55,571 
Antigua and Barbuda264 
Guadeloupe77,746 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 304 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 408 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 434 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 389 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 353 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 346 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 247 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 171 20 thousand
- - - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe
Blue 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 311 -
- - - - - Guadeloupe
Blue 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 911 5.4 million
- Dominican Republic, Haiti, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Montserrat, Guadeloupe




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC