Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
18 Sep 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
Exposed population 140 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (18 Sep 18:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 140 km/h 0.5 m 633 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 234 km/h n.a. 1075 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

234 km/h

Up to 140 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico142,558
+
Dominican Republic45,411 
Puerto Rico97,147 
Tropical StormTurks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico3,787,804
+
Turks and Caicos Islands225 
Dominican Republic512,813 
Puerto Rico3,274,764 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 148 -
- - - - - Saba, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 90 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis
GREEN 15 18 Sep 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 16 18 Sep 2022 06:00 122 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 17 18 Sep 2022 12:00 122 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
GREEN 18 18 Sep 2022 18:00 198 140 thousand
- - - - Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmPuerto Rico37,061 
500-750 mmPuerto Rico635,445 
250-500 mmDominican Republic, Puerto Rico1,936,407
+
Dominican Republic335,785 
Puerto Rico1,600,622 
100-250 mmTurks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico4,210,542
+
Turks and Caicos Islands532 
Dominican Republic2,812,809 
Puerto Rico1,397,199 
50-100 mmBahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.1,760,870
+
Bahamas146 
Turks and Caicos Islands20,571 
Haiti122,904 
Dominican Republic1,598,640 
Puerto Rico12,908 
British Virgin Islands2,862 
Virgin Islands, U.S.2,837 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 304 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 408 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 434 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 389 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 353 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 346 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 247 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 171 20 thousand
- - - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe
Blue 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 311 -
- - - - - Guadeloupe
Blue 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 373 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 226 3 thousand
- - - - Puerto Rico, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
Blue 15 18 Sep 2022 00:00 227 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 18 Sep 2022 06:00 515 30 thousand
- - - Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 17 18 Sep 2022 12:00 355 200 thousand
- - - - Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Blue 18 18 Sep 2022 18:00 821 6.8 million
- Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC