Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for FIONA-22 in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico from 14 Sep 2022 15:00 UTC to 24 Sep 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22

in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico

23 Sep 2022 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon
Exposed population	30 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	202 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (23 Sep 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	202 km/h	0.7 m	212 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	234 km/h	n.a.	1075 mm	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

234 km/h

Up to 30 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 3	Canada	00	+
CAT. 2	Canada	05
CAT. 1	Canada	26,944
Tropical Storm	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon	1,086,401	+
	Canada	1,080,113
	Saint Pierre and Miquelon	6,288

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Sep 2022 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Sep 2022 06:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Sep 2022 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	15 Sep 2022 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	16 Sep 2022 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	16 Sep 2022 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	16 Sep 2022 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	16 Sep 2022 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	17 Sep 2022 00:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Anguilla, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
12	17 Sep 2022 06:00	148	-		-	-	-	-	-	Saba, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
13	17 Sep 2022 12:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
14	17 Sep 2022 18:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis
15	18 Sep 2022 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
16	18 Sep 2022 06:00	122	-		-	-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.
17	18 Sep 2022 12:00	122	-		-	-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
18	18 Sep 2022 18:00	140	100 thousand			-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
19	19 Sep 2022 00:00	151	Few people			-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
20	19 Sep 2022 06:00	148	40 thousand			-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
21	19 Sep 2022 12:00	137	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
22	19 Sep 2022 18:00	176	70 thousand			-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic
23	20 Sep 2022 00:00	176	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic
24	20 Sep 2022 06:00	202	5 thousand					-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic
25	20 Sep 2022 12:00	194	7 thousand				-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
26	20 Sep 2022 18:00	187	Few people			-	-	-	-	Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
27	21 Sep 2022 00:00	216	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bahamas, Turks and Caicos Islands
28	21 Sep 2022 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	21 Sep 2022 12:00	220	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	21 Sep 2022 18:00	212	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	22 Sep 2022 00:00	212	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	22 Sep 2022 06:00	234	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	22 Sep 2022 12:00	220	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	22 Sep 2022 18:00	209	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	23 Sep 2022 00:00	202	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bermuda
36	23 Sep 2022 06:00	194	60 thousand	-		-	-	-	-	Bermuda
37	23 Sep 2022 12:00	212	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bermuda
38	23 Sep 2022 18:00	202	30 thousand				-	-	-	Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Canada	442
100-250 mm	Canada	85,361
50-100 mm	Canada	687,094

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 12:00	304	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Sep 2022 18:00	408	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	434	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Sep 2022 06:00	389	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Sep 2022 12:00	353	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	15 Sep 2022 18:00	346	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	16 Sep 2022 00:00	247	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	16 Sep 2022 06:00	147	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	16 Sep 2022 12:00	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	16 Sep 2022 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	17 Sep 2022 00:00	171	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe
12	17 Sep 2022 06:00	311	-		-	-	-	-	-	Guadeloupe
13	17 Sep 2022 12:00	373	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	17 Sep 2022 18:00	226	3 thousand			-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
15	18 Sep 2022 00:00	227	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	18 Sep 2022 06:00	515	30 thousand				-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
17	18 Sep 2022 12:00	355	200 thousand			-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
18	18 Sep 2022 18:00	633	1.7 million				-	-	-	Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.
19	19 Sep 2022 00:00	347	300 thousand			-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
20	19 Sep 2022 06:00	331	720 thousand				-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
21	19 Sep 2022 12:00	267	350 thousand				-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Haiti
22	19 Sep 2022 18:00	261	100 thousand			-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
23	20 Sep 2022 00:00	163	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	20 Sep 2022 06:00	160	5 thousand	-		-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
25	20 Sep 2022 12:00	252	-		-	-	-	-	-	Turks and Caicos Islands
26	20 Sep 2022 18:00	195	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	21 Sep 2022 00:00	237	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	21 Sep 2022 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	21 Sep 2022 12:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	21 Sep 2022 18:00	182	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	22 Sep 2022 00:00	153	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	22 Sep 2022 06:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	22 Sep 2022 12:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	22 Sep 2022 18:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	23 Sep 2022 00:00	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	23 Sep 2022 06:00	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	23 Sep 2022 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	23 Sep 2022 18:00	311	90 thousand				-	-	-	Canada

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.