Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for FIONA-22 in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico from 14 Sep 2022 15:00 UTC to 24 Sep 2022 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22

in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico

18 Sep 2022 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	122 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (18 Sep 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	122 km/h	0.6 m	515 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	234 km/h	n.a.	1075 mm	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.	3,751,451	+
	Dominican Republic	65,346
	Puerto Rico	3,554,058
	British Virgin Islands	25,755
	Virgin Islands, U.S.	106,290

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Sep 2022 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Sep 2022 06:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Sep 2022 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	15 Sep 2022 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	16 Sep 2022 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	16 Sep 2022 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	16 Sep 2022 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	16 Sep 2022 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	17 Sep 2022 00:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Anguilla, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
12	17 Sep 2022 06:00	148	-		-	-	-	-	-	Saba, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
13	17 Sep 2022 12:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
14	17 Sep 2022 18:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis
15	18 Sep 2022 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.
16	18 Sep 2022 06:00	180	-		-	-	-	-	-	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

1075 mm

Up to 4.5 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
750-1000 mm	Puerto Rico	45,119
500-750 mm	Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.	382,170	+
	Puerto Rico	365,326
	Virgin Islands, U.S.	16,843
250-500 mm	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.	1,555,937	+
	Dominican Republic	97
	Puerto Rico	1,526,366
	Virgin Islands, U.S.	29,473
100-250 mm	Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.	2,498,294	+
	Dominican Republic	921,977
	Puerto Rico	1,520,526
	Virgin Islands, U.S.	55,790
50-100 mm	Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.	3,153,602	+
	Turks and Caicos Islands	244
	Dominican Republic	2,897,707
	Puerto Rico	225,898
	British Virgin Islands	25,568
	Virgin Islands, U.S.	4,183

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 Sep 2022 12:00	304	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Sep 2022 18:00	408	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Sep 2022 00:00	434	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Sep 2022 06:00	389	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Sep 2022 12:00	353	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	15 Sep 2022 18:00	346	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	16 Sep 2022 00:00	247	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	16 Sep 2022 06:00	147	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	16 Sep 2022 12:00	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	16 Sep 2022 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	17 Sep 2022 00:00	171	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe
12	17 Sep 2022 06:00	311	-		-	-	-	-	-	Guadeloupe
13	17 Sep 2022 12:00	373	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	17 Sep 2022 18:00	226	3 thousand			-	-	-	-	Puerto Rico, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
15	18 Sep 2022 00:00	227	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	18 Sep 2022 06:00	969	4.5 million						-	Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, U.S.

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.