Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FIONA-22
in Canada, Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
17 Sep 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIONA-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis
Exposed population 30 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (17 Sep 20:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Dominican Republic)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 90 km/h 0.6 m 226 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 234 km/h n.a. 1075 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

234 km/h

Up to 3.9 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Puerto Rico30,116 
Tropical StormTurks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis3,850,154
+
Turks and Caicos Islands978 
Dominican Republic13,559 
British Virgin Islands30,117 
Puerto Rico3,590,871 
Virgin Islands, U.S.106,290 
Anguilla1,334 
Saint-Martin21,696 
Sint Maarten38,367 
Saint-Barthélemy5,471 
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis35,003 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 148 -
- - - - - Saba, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe
GREEN 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 194 30 thousand
- - - - Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmPuerto Rico12,765 
500-750 mmVirgin Islands, U.S., Puerto Rico200,518
+
Puerto Rico144,792 
Virgin Islands, U.S.55,726 
250-500 mmDominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S.984,563
+
Dominican Republic5,676 
British Virgin Islands20,563 
Puerto Rico907,758 
Virgin Islands, U.S.50,564 
100-250 mmDominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Montserrat2,959,998
+
Dominican Republic631,294 
British Virgin Islands9,553 
Puerto Rico2,316,106 
Montserrat3,044 
50-100 mmTurks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe2,082,232
+
Turks and Caicos Islands1,752 
Dominican Republic1,699,926 
Puerto Rico253,151 
Anguilla13,923 
Saint-Martin41,636 
Sint Maarten33,206 
Saint-Barthélemy10,440 
Saint Kitts and Nevis22,394 
Montserrat2,076 
Guadeloupe3,724 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Sep 2022 12:00 304 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 Sep 2022 18:00 408 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Sep 2022 00:00 434 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Sep 2022 06:00 389 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 15 Sep 2022 12:00 353 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 15 Sep 2022 18:00 346 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Sep 2022 00:00 247 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Sep 2022 06:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 16 Sep 2022 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 16 Sep 2022 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 171 20 thousand
- - - - Saint Kitts and Nevis, Antigua and Barbuda, Guadeloupe
Blue 12 17 Sep 2022 06:00 311 -
- - - - - Guadeloupe
Blue 13 17 Sep 2022 12:00 373 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 Sep 2022 18:00 1112 4.2 million
- Turks and Caicos Islands, Dominican Republic, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC