Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

31 Oct 2019 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	83 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (02 Nov 05:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	83 km/h	0.4 m	89 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	0.4 m	513 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	India, Sri Lanka	2,442,943	+
	India	2,156,800
	Sri Lanka	286,143

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	233	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	220	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	220	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 05:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 05:15	Wadgam	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 05:15	Kambhat	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 05:30	Kavi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 05:30	Sarod	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 02:15	Ghogha	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 02:15	Dahej	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 02:15	Harinagar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 00:30	Damka	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 21:00	Dharabandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 21:00	Rohisa	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 21:00	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 02:30	Mahuva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 02:30	Kotada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	01 Nov 2019 23:30	Daman	India	0.3
	01 Nov 2019 23:30	Udvada	India	0.3
	01 Nov 2019 23:30	Maroli	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:30	Delvada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:30	Nawabandar	India	0.3
	01 Nov 2019 23:30	Umbargam	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Gholvad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Bordi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Veraval	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Somnath	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Shil	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Mangrol	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Chorwad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:15	Tarapur	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:15	Malyan	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:45	Tuna	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:45	Jodiya	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 23:15	Boisar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 22:45	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 22:45	Palghar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Ratia	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Gorser	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 22:45	Mahim	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:30	Suthri	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:30	Jambura	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Adodar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:45	Porbandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Agashi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Dongri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Vasai	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 02:15	Gokarn	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 02:15	Kumta	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 02:15	Honavar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 16:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Ankola	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:30	Karwar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:30	Belekeri	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:45	Gadechi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:45	Okha	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:45	Aramda	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Malad	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 21:15	Chittadi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 21:15	Kundapura	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:30	Mandvi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Mumbai	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:00	Manki	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:00	Mavalli	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:30	Bhadia	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:15	Sika	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Shirali	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 21:15	Bainduru	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 21:15	Udipi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 12:30	Dwarka	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 10:00	Miyani	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 15:30	Navinal	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 10:00	Lamba	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Alibag	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Madgaon	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 14:30	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 10:00	Bhogat	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 02:00	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 02:00	Chaudi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 02:00	Majali	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 11:30	Madhi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Vengurla	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Terekhol	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Chopdem	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Anjuna	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Murud	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:15	Panaji	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Revadanda	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Bankot	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:45	Kelshi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 07:00	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:30	Boria	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:30	Guhagar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 20:00	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 20:00	Mirya	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 20:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Lakba	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:00	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 20:15	Purangad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 20:15	Purnagad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 10:15	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 10:15	Adiura	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 09:45	Devgarh	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 09:45	Pural	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 09:45	Achra	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 08:45	Malvan	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 18:30	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 20:15	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:45	As Sirab	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 20:45	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 01:30	Mulki	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:45	Al Qurayyah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:45	Adgat	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:45	Khawr Fakkan	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 01:30	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 13:15	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 13:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 13:00	Filim	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:30	Al Fujayrah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 21:30	Kalba	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 06:15	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.