Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

26 Oct 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	122 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (26 Oct 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	122 km/h	0.5 m	305 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

923 mm

Up to Few people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Ethiopia, Somalia	907	+
	Somalia	98
	Ethiopia	809
50-100 mm	India, Somalia, Ethiopia	8,370,667	+
	India	8,355,194
	Somalia	8,665
	Ethiopia	6,808

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	234	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	307	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	402	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	547	Few people		-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Wadgam	India	0.5
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Kambhat	India	0.5
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Kavi	India	0.5
	26 Oct 2019 11:45	Asarsa	India	0.5
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Harinagar	India	0.5
	26 Oct 2019 11:45	Ghogha	India	0.5
	26 Oct 2019 11:00	Dahej	India	0.5
	26 Oct 2019 11:00	Tankari	India	0.5
	26 Oct 2019 11:00	Muler	India	0.5
	26 Oct 2019 09:30	Jafarabad	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 09:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 09:45	Mahuva	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:15	Hansot	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 04:45	Nalasopara	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 04:45	Agashi	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 04:45	Dongri	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 04:45	Vasai	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 01:15	Boria	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 01:15	Guhagar	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 01:15	Anjanwel	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:15	Bhagva	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 02:15	Murud	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 02:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Kotada	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:00	Tarapur	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:00	Shirgaon	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:00	Malyan	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:00	Boisar	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Malad	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Mumbai	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Asumumbay	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:00	Palghar	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:00	Mahim	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Mandve	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 01:30	Jaigarh	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 11:00	Maroli	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 11:00	Daman	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 11:00	Udvada	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 11:45	Jalalpur	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:15	Gholvad	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:15	Bordi	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Umbargam	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 09:30	Rohisa	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 01:30	Mirya	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Dharabandar	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Damka	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 01:00	Bankot	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 01:00	Kelshi	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Alibag	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 11:45	Revadanda	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 01:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 01:30	Srivardhan	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:45	Uran	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:45	Trombay	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:45	Diva	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 10:45	Taloje	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 01:15	Purangad	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 01:15	Purnagad	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Delvada	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Nawabandar	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 08:45	Surat	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 08:45	Mahuver	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 01:00	Adiura	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Kodinar	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 01:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 00:45	Devgarh	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 00:45	Pural	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Lodhwa	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Veraval	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Somnath	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Sutrapada	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 01:15	Achra	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 00:45	Vengurla	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 00:45	Terekhol	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Mangrol	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Chorwad	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 00:45	Malvan	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 04:00	Chopdem	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 04:00	Anjuna	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:45	Marmagao	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:45	Panaji	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:45	Agacaim	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:45	Madgaon	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 10:00	Shil	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:30	Karwar	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:30	Belekeri	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 01:30	Ratia	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 01:30	Gorser	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:15	Ankola	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:15	Gokarn	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:30	Advota	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:30	Chaudi	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:30	Majali	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:30	Kumta	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 01:30	Adodar	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 01:30	Porbandar	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:00	Honavar	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 03:00	Manki	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 09:00	Mavalli	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 09:00	Shirali	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 09:00	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 09:00	Bainduru	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 09:00	Chittadi	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 09:00	Kundapura	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 09:00	Udipi	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 11:30	Lamba	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 11:30	Miyani	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 09:45	Bhogat	India	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 00:15	Khalil	Oman	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 00:15	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 00:15	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 00:15	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 00:15	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 10:00	Madhi	India	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 00:15	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 01:30	Mulki	India	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 00:45	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 11:15	Dwarka	India	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 10:15	Gadechi	India	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 10:15	Okha	India	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 10:15	Aramda	India	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 12:00	Suthri	India	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 04:15	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	26 Oct 2019 04:15	Filim	Oman	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.