Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

04 Nov 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Pakistan, India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	169 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (07 Nov 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	169 km/h	0.6 m	140 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	0.4 m	513 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Pakistan, India	211,670	+
	Pakistan	38,391
	India	173,279

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Nov 2019 06:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	01 Nov 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	01 Nov 2019 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Nov 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Nov 2019 06:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	02 Nov 2019 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	02 Nov 2019 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	03 Nov 2019 00:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	03 Nov 2019 06:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	03 Nov 2019 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	03 Nov 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	04 Nov 2019 00:00	169	-		-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

513 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	India, Maldives, Sri Lanka	5,982,181	+
	India	5,078,618
	Maldives	44,947
	Sri Lanka	858,616

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	233	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	220	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	170	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Nov 2019 06:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	01 Nov 2019 12:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	01 Nov 2019 18:00	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Nov 2019 00:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Nov 2019 06:00	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	02 Nov 2019 12:00	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	02 Nov 2019 18:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	03 Nov 2019 00:00	124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	03 Nov 2019 06:00	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	03 Nov 2019 12:00	118	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	03 Nov 2019 18:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	04 Nov 2019 00:00	423	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Maldives, Sri Lanka

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Dahej, India. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	07 Nov 2019 00:00	Dahej	India	0.6
	07 Nov 2019 00:00	Harinagar	India	0.6
	07 Nov 2019 00:00	Ghogha	India	0.6
	07 Nov 2019 00:00	Wadgam	India	0.6
	07 Nov 2019 00:00	Kambhat	India	0.6
	07 Nov 2019 00:00	Kavi	India	0.6
	07 Nov 2019 00:00	Sarod	India	0.6
	07 Nov 2019 00:00	Damka	India	0.5
	07 Nov 2019 00:00	Kotada	India	0.5
	06 Nov 2019 22:15	Mahuva	India	0.4
	06 Nov 2019 23:15	Daman	India	0.4
	06 Nov 2019 23:15	Udvada	India	0.4
	06 Nov 2019 23:15	Maroli	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 23:15	Umbargam	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 21:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 23:00	Bordi	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 23:00	Gholvad	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 18:15	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 22:30	Malyan	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 18:15	Rohisa	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 18:15	Dharabandar	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 22:30	Tarapur	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 22:30	Boisar	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 19:15	Delvada	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 19:15	Nawabandar	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 22:30	Shirgaon	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 22:30	Palghar	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 22:15	Mahim	India	0.3
	06 Nov 2019 22:30	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 22:30	Agashi	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 22:30	Vasai	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 22:30	Dongri	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 19:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 19:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 22:30	Malad	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 15:00	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 15:00	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 15:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 15:15	Veraval	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 15:15	Somnath	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 03:15	Suthri	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 15:00	Chorwad	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 14:45	Mangrol	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 02:45	Okha	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 02:45	Aramda	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 22:15	Mumbai	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 22:15	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 03:00	Gadechi	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 14:45	Shil	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 02:15	Dwarka	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 02:15	Madhi	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 02:15	Bhogat	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 03:00	Mandvi	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 00:00	Tuna	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 00:00	Jodiya	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 02:15	Lamba	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 00:00	Jambura	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 00:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 03:30	Bhadia	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 13:30	Bada	Pakistan	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 02:00	Miyani	India	0.2
	04 Nov 2019 00:30	Sika	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 01:15	Navinal	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 01:30	Chudeswar	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 00:45	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 13:15	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 13:30	Cheru	Pakistan	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 02:00	Porbandar	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 00:30	Ratia	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 00:30	Gorser	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 03:00	Adodar	India	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 02:45	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 02:45	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:15	Bainduru	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:15	Chittadi	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:15	Kundapura	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 22:15	Alibag	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 13:30	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 13:30	Filim	Oman	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:15	Honavar	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:15	Manki	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:15	Mavalli	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:15	Shirali	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:15	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 21:00	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 21:00	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:15	Gokarn	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:15	Kumta	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.