Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	101 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (10 Aug 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	101 km/h	0.4 m	85 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	151 km/h	0.7 m	1071 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

151 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	656

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	130	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico	256,925
50-100 mm	Mexico	27,674,245

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	197	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	192	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	508	260 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Molino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 Aug 2020 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	10 Aug 2020 04:00	Molino	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 04:00	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 04:15	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 04:15	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 04:15	Tecomate	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 04:15	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 04:15	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 00:30	Aguaje	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 01:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 01:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 04:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 03:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 01:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:15	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 01:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 01:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 01:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 02:15	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 00:45	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:30	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:45	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:45	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:15	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:45	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:15	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:30	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:15	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:15	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:30	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:30	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:45	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:15	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 05:00	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:30	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:15	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 02:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:45	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 01:45	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:30	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:30	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 00:30	La Lima	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.