Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Fiji
Exposed population 260 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 169 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (15 Dec 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 169 km/h 0.3 m 174 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 281 km/h 1.3 m 829 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

281 km/h

Up to 260 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Fiji4,012 
CAT. 2Fiji104,073 
CAT. 1Fiji147,189 
Tropical StormFiji282,842 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 122 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 198 260 thousand
- - Fiji
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmFiji668,607 
100-250 mmTonga, Fiji119,540
+
Fiji119,275 
Tonga265 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna130,880
+
Solomon Islands941 
Fiji114,378 
Wallis and Futuna15,561 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 687 790 thousand
- - - Solomon Islands, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Lao, Fiji. This height is estimated for 15 Dec 2020 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Lao Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Vangai Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Nawi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 14:30 Naindi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 14:30 Korosi Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 14:30 Korotasere Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 14:30 Naweni Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 14:30 Nakarambo Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 14:30 Viani Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 14:30 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 14:15 Lautoka Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 14:15 Nailanga Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 14:15 Sorokoba Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 14:15 Ba Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Namaka Fiji  0.3
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Nadi Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Momi Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Solevu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 14:45 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 14:30 Natunuka Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 14:30 Tavua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 14:45 Malake Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Nailou Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Napuka Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Vunivatu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Navukembuli Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Naua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Namukalau Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Tavua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 16:45 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 16:45 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 15:00 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 16:45 Mamie New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 16:45 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 16:45 Waho New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Waisa Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Natua Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Mbangata Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Savusavu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 17:15 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Namboutini Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:15 Thio New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:15 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:15 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 14:00 Rakiraki Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 14:00 Vaileka Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 14:00 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 14:00 Nasau Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Paola New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Touho New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Rabulu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Togowere Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 14:15 Vatutandova Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 14:15 Nasea Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 14:00 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 17:00 Ouinne New Caledonia  0.2
15 Dec 2020 12:30 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 12:30 Thavanga Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 12:30 Ndaria Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 12:30 Rave-rave Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 12:30 Ndawara Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Tawake Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Nukusa Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Soso Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 12:45 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.2
15 Dec 2020 12:45 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.2
15 Dec 2020 12:45 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.2
15 Dec 2020 12:45 Ipota Vanuatu  0.2
15 Dec 2020 12:45 Ifo Vanuatu  0.2
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.2
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Souleisere Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Piapouria Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Mae Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Tourebiou Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Atsaritibi Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Robertsons Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Bakakara Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Terou Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Worovok Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Ladhu Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Lavatavo Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Iakobone Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:30 Lawaki Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:30 Naingani Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Nambouono Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 16:45 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 16:45 Savu Sau Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Sisili Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Nacula Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Navotua Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Tamusua Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Korovou Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Navuti Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 14:45 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 14:45 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 14:45 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Rukuruku Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Lovoni Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Nauouo Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:45 Levuka Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 14:45 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 18:00 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Hog Harbour Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Laucala Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Nausori Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Lokia Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Cautata Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Nasilai Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Dromuna Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Meriver Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Lamap Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:00 Abnetare Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:00 Segond Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:00 Asavagas Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Canala New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:15 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:15 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:15 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:30 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:30 Tavio Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:30 Leman Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:30 Votlo Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:30 Mate Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:30 Nul Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:30 Filakara Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:30 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 14:15 Teci Fiji  0.1
15 Dec 2020 17:30 Wora Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Lekia New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Fayaoue New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Wadrilla New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Ognahu New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Wegnec St-Joseph New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Teouta New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:00 Ognat New Caledonia  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:30 Kouroumanpe Vanuatu  0.1
15 Dec 2020 13:30 Mangarisu Vanuatu  0.1