Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

15 May 2021 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
Exposed population	2.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	101 km/h
Maximum storm surge	2.3 m (17 May 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	101 km/h	2.3 m	227 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	3.7 m	920 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 16 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 2	India	393,011
CAT. 1	India	1,783,931
Tropical Storm	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India	15,993,960	+
	Afghanistan	6,485
	Iran	18
	Pakistan	1,688,298
	India	14,299,158

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	184	2.2 million			-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	34
100-250 mm	India	19,188,315
50-100 mm	India	35,383,577

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	194	1.3 million		-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	269	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	274	5.1 million		-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	315	1.6 million		-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	524	19.2 million			-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

2.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 2.3m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 17 May 2021 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 May 2021 17:00	Kambhat	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 17:00	Kavi	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 17:00	Sarod	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 17:00	Wadgam	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 17:00	Tankari	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 16:15	Asarsa	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 16:15	Harinagar	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 16:00	Dahej	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 16:00	Muler	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 15:30	Ghogha	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 14:30	Hansot	India	1.8
	18 May 2021 03:45	Gadechi	India	1.6
	18 May 2021 03:45	Okha	India	1.6
	18 May 2021 03:45	Aramda	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 13:45	Bhagva	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 23:30	Ratia	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 23:30	Gorser	India	1.6
	18 May 2021 02:45	Porbandar	India	1.6
	18 May 2021 02:45	Adodar	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 13:30	Damka	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 13:30	Olpad	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 13:00	Kotada	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 15:45	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 15:45	Mahuva	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 02:30	Miyani	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 04:30	Lamba	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 21:30	Shil	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 21:30	Mangrol	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 14:45	Jafarabad	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 21:30	Chorwad	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 14:15	Dharabandar	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 14:15	Rohisa	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 19:45	Veraval	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 19:45	Somnath	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 19:45	Sutrapada	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 12:45	Surat	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 12:45	Jalalpur	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 12:45	Mahuver	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 15:15	Delvada	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 15:15	Nawabandar	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 20:00	Lodhwa	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 20:00	Kodinar	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 15:15	Kotra Nes	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 15:15	Dangarvadi	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 12:30	Nausari	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 12:30	Navsari	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 11:45	Dharasana	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 11:45	Valsad	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 10:45	Bilimora	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 12:00	Udvada	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 04:45	Bhogat	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 11:45	Daman	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 11:45	Maroli	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 12:00	Umbargam	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 05:00	Madhi	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 11:15	Bordi	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 11:00	Gholvad	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 10:45	Malyan	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 11:00	Sakhare	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 11:00	Tarapur	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 10:45	Boisar	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 10:30	Shirgaon	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 10:30	Palghar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 10:30	Mahim	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 10:00	Agashi	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 10:45	Nalasopara	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:45	Dongri	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:45	Vasai	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:45	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:45	Navghar	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 05:30	Dwarka	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:30	Malad	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:30	Mumbai	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:30	Asumumbay	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:30	Uran	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:30	Trombay	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:30	Diva	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:30	Taloje	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:30	Mandve	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 05:45	Alibag	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 05:45	Revadanda	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 05:45	Murud	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 05:45	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 05:30	Srivardhan	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 06:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 06:30	Vengurla	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 06:30	Terekhol	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 01:00	Bankot	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 01:00	Kelshi	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 20:00	Guhagar	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 20:00	Anjanwel	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 07:15	Chopdem	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 07:15	Anjuna	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 20:00	Boria	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 20:00	Jaigarh	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:00	Marmagao	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:00	Panaji	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:00	Agacaim	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:00	Madgaon	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 08:45	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.5
	15 May 2021 08:45	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.5
	16 May 2021 20:00	Mirya	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 20:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 08:15	Malvan	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 08:30	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.5
	15 May 2021 08:30	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.5
	16 May 2021 08:00	Devgarh	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 08:00	Achra	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 22:00	Karwar	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 22:00	Belekeri	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 22:00	Ankola	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 22:00	Gokarn	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:45	Advota	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:45	Chaudi	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 07:30	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.5
	16 May 2021 20:00	Purnagad	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:30	Kumta	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:30	Honavar	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:30	Manki	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 08:15	Pural	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:45	Mavalli	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:45	Shirali	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:45	Bhatkal	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:30	Majali	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 06:45	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 20:00	Purangad	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 08:15	Vijayadurg	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:45	Bainduru	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 11:30	Adiura	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:30	Chittadi	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 22:45	Chudeswar	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 22:45	Salaya	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:15	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:15	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:15	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:15	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 13:00	Kundapura	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:15	Udipi	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 06:30	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 06:30	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 11:30	Mulki	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 16:30	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:30	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 10:15	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:30	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:00	Kumbla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 09:45	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Edakkad	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Mahe	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Badagara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Payyoli	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 20:30	New Kandla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 20:30	Navlakhi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:15	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:45	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:45	Chervattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:45	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:45	Madayipara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:45	Madayi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 10:45	Cannanore	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:45	Bekal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:15	Quilandi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:15	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:15	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:00	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:00	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:00	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 11:00	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 20:45	Jodiya	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:30	Beypore	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:30	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 20:45	Tuna	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:15	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:15	Tanur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:15	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Kodigeri	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Vedaranyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 06:00	Vedaranniyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 07:15	Ormara Raik	Pakistan	0.2
	15 May 2021 07:15	Ormara	Pakistan	0.2
	15 May 2021 20:15	Jambura	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 09:45	Anaippapan	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 16:30	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:30	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Turavur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 14:30	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Cochin	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Mattancheri	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Atirampattinam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 11:45	Pappinivatti	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:45	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:45	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:00	Ponnani	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:00	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:00	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 09:15	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 09:15	Melmandai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 09:15	Vembar	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 11:30	Manattala	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 11:30	Chavakkad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 11:30	Guruvayur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 11:30	Chaughat	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 11:30	Talikkulam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 10:00	Kayankulam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 10:00	Karunagapalli	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:30	Akri	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Alleppey	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:30	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:30	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 07:00	Balaru	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:15	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Sika	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 10:15	Ambalapulai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 10:15	Haripad	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 16:15	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 20:00	Mundra	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:30	Brar	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:45	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Chakicherla	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 06:00	Vatturupallepalem	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:45	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 10:30	Quilon	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 16:15	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	Sur Masirah	Oman	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	'Urf	Oman	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	Mursays	Oman	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	Hiql	Oman	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	Maghilah	Oman	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:30	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:00	Gurdim	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:00	Guraim	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:00	Dorri	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:00	Pozm Tiab	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:00	Machan	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:00	Konarak	Iran	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.