Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21
in Mexico
30 Jun 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 40 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Jul 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 40 km/h 0.2 m 47 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m 750 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

148 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 27 Jun 2021 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Jun 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Jun 2021 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 28 Jun 2021 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 28 Jun 2021 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 28 Jun 2021 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 28 Jun 2021 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 16 29 Jun 2021 00:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 17 29 Jun 2021 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 18 29 Jun 2021 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 19 29 Jun 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 30 Jun 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 30 Jun 2021 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 30 Jun 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 30 Jun 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico84,255 
50-100 mmMexico15,508,527 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Jun 2021 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Jun 2021 12:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Jun 2021 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 26 Jun 2021 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 26 Jun 2021 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Jun 2021 12:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Jun 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 27 Jun 2021 00:00 205 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 27 Jun 2021 06:00 183 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 10 27 Jun 2021 12:00 193 50 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 11 27 Jun 2021 18:00 222 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 12 28 Jun 2021 00:00 181 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 13 28 Jun 2021 06:00 177 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 14 28 Jun 2021 12:00 103 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 15 28 Jun 2021 18:00 156 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 16 29 Jun 2021 00:00 142 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 17 29 Jun 2021 06:00 148 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 18 29 Jun 2021 12:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 29 Jun 2021 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 20 30 Jun 2021 00:00 100 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 30 Jun 2021 06:00 74 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 22 30 Jun 2021 12:00 36 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 30 Jun 2021 18:00 557 80 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Bahia Kino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 02 Jul 2021 01:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2021 16:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2021 01:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 El Barril Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 00:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 00:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 06:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 06:45 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 03:45 El Martillo United States  0.1
01 Jul 2021 03:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 19:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 19:45 La Majada Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 22:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 22:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 22:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 18:30 Rockport United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 18:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 18:30 Copano Village United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 18:30 Fulton United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 18:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
30 Jun 2021 18:30 Lamar United States  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 17:15 Arista Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 20:15 El Roble Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 20:15 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 02:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 16:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 11:15 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 06:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 06:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 06:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 06:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 03:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 03:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 22:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 22:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 22:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2021 15:45 Cedros Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 02:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 El Real Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 Apisa Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
30 Jun 2021 20:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 01:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 17:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2021 03:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 11:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 15:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 01:45 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2021 01:45 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1