Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HILDA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (03 Aug 21:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 108 km/h 0.4 m 99 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.4 m 656 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

151 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Jul 2021 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 Jul 2021 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Aug 2021 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Aug 2021 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Aug 2021 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Aug 2021 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Aug 2021 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Aug 2021 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Aug 2021 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Aug 2021 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Aug 2021 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 03 Aug 2021 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Aug 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
Download:





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico70,879 
50-100 mmMexico362,190 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Jul 2021 06:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 31 Jul 2021 12:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 31 Jul 2021 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Aug 2021 00:00 173 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 01 Aug 2021 06:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Aug 2021 12:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Aug 2021 18:00 192 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Aug 2021 00:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Aug 2021 06:00 298 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Aug 2021 12:00 196 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Aug 2021 18:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Aug 2021 00:00 233 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 03 Aug 2021 06:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Aug 2021 12:00 356 70 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Santa Rosalia, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Aug 2021 21:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Aug 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Aug 2021 21:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 21:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.4
03 Aug 2021 21:15 San Jose Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 21:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 21:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 21:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Loreto Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Ligui Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Tripui Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Mulege Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 21:00 Liliba Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 21:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 20:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 01:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 14:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 14:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 14:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 07:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 07:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 07:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 17:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 23:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 23:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 23:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 10:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 14:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 04:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 14:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 23:45 Altata Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 21:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 03:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2021 02:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
06 Aug 2021 02:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 01:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 08:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
05 Aug 2021 08:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 22:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 06:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
04 Aug 2021 16:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 16:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 09:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2021 08:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2021 08:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 07:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
06 Aug 2021 07:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 02:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 21:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 22:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 03:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 03:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 03:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 22:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 17:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 23:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 08:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 18:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 04:30 Chamela Mexico  0.1
04 Aug 2021 06:30 Cunano Mexico  0.1
05 Aug 2021 09:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1