Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAWAN-19
in Somalia, Ethiopia
03 Dec 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAWAN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Somalia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (03 Dec 14:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Somalia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 68 km/h 0.3 m 118 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 108 km/h 0.4 m 491 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

108 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSomalia52,573 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 03 Dec 2019 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 03 Dec 2019 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 03 Dec 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - Somalia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmSomalia765 
100-250 mmSomalia40,298 
50-100 mmSomalia70,764 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 03 Dec 2019 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 03 Dec 2019 06:00 232 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 03 Dec 2019 12:00 548 40 thousand
- - - Somalia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Baarbacadle, Somalia. This height is estimated for 03 Dec 2019 14:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Dec 2019 14:30 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.3
03 Dec 2019 14:30 Eyl Somalia  0.3
03 Dec 2019 14:30 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.3
03 Dec 2019 12:15 'Ag Somalia  0.3
03 Dec 2019 14:30 Ascira Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 14:30 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 14:15 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 15:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 13:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 13:15 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 13:15 Ceel Dhahanaan Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 13:00 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 15:00 Dauli Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 15:30 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 15:30 Saylac Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 14:30 Hen Daier Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 13:00 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 13:30 Xaafuun Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 14:45 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 17:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.2
03 Dec 2019 18:00 Boho Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 18:00 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 18:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 15:30 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:45 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:45 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:30 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:45 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:45 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 18:00 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 18:00 Qadub Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 18:00 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 14:45 Garahadde Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 14:45 Culli Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 14:30 Hobyo Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 18:00 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:45 Kamaran Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:45 Sayfaf Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:45 Al Jazirah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:45 Qurayyah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:45 Al Khawbah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:45 Ibn Abbas Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 16:00 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
03 Dec 2019 13:30 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 13:30 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 12:45 Darimoh Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 13:00 Gishub Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 13:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:45 Beraisole Eritrea  0.1
03 Dec 2019 13:45 Al Ghulayfiqah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:00 Midi Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:00 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 13:30 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 14:45 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:45 Alela Eritrea  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:45 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:30 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:30 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:30 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:00 Al Madasikah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:45 Murad Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:45 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 15:45 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:45 Behld Eritrea  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:15 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:15 Maushij Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 17:15 Jirdan Yemen  0.1