Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAWAN-19
in Somalia, Ethiopia
04 Dec 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAWAN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Somalia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 0 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (07 Dec 00:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Somalia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 0 km/h 0.0 m 0 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 108 km/h 0.4 m 491 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

108 km/h

Up to 4 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSomalia3,733 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 03 Dec 2019 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 03 Dec 2019 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 03 Dec 2019 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 03 Dec 2019 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 04 Dec 2019 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSomalia, Ethiopia42,318
+
Somalia33,360 
Ethiopia8,958 
50-100 mmSomalia, Ethiopia361,859
+
Somalia295,081 
Ethiopia66,778 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 03 Dec 2019 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 03 Dec 2019 06:00 232 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 03 Dec 2019 12:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 03 Dec 2019 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 04 Dec 2019 00:00 0 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Cal Marthal, Somalia. This height is estimated for 07 Dec 2019 00:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Dec 2019 00:30 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.3
07 Dec 2019 00:30 Dauli Somalia  0.3
07 Dec 2019 01:30 'Ag Somalia  0.3
07 Dec 2019 12:00 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 12:00 Eyl Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 12:00 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 22:00 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 22:00 Ceel Dhahanaan Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 01:15 Ascira Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 01:15 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 01:15 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 01:15 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 01:15 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 01:15 Aiesloho Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 01:15 Mach Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 13:00 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 11:00 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 01:15 Cadayo Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 00:00 Hen Daier Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 00:00 Hobyo Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 10:45 Tabut Yemen  0.2
07 Dec 2019 10:45 Hayrut Yemen  0.2
07 Dec 2019 10:45 Nishtun Yemen  0.2
07 Dec 2019 02:00 Sala Gon Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 02:00 Xaafuun Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 07:30 Garahadde Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 01:15 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 01:15 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 00:15 Qandala Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 00:15 Botiala Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 01:00 Darimoh Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 01:45 Culli Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 01:30 Tooxin Somalia  0.1
08 Dec 2019 04:30 Bereeda Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 05:45 Lakba Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2019 05:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2019 05:45 Lakabi Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2019 05:45 Qaysad Oman  0.1
07 Dec 2019 08:15 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
07 Dec 2019 08:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 08:15 Saylac Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 16:45 Marero Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 16:45 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 16:45 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 09:45 Boho Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 09:45 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 04:45 Midi Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 04:45 Al Madasikah Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 04:45 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 05:45 Qishn Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 08:30 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 08:30 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 08:00 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 18:30 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 18:30 Qadub Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 18:30 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 00:00 Caluula Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 00:45 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 00:45 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 03:00 Kamaran Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 03:00 Sayfaf Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 03:00 Al Jazirah Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 03:00 Qurayyah Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 03:00 Al Khawbah Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 03:00 Ibn Abbas Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 17:30 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 17:30 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 00:00 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 00:00 Burum Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 00:00 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 00:00 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 00:00 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1