Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAWAN-19
in Somalia, Ethiopia
07 Dec 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAWAN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (03 Dec 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Somalia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 79 km/h 0.3 m 778 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 79 km/h 0.3 m 778 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Dec 2019 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 03 Dec 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 03 Dec 2019 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 04 Dec 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 04 Dec 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 05 Dec 2019 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 05 Dec 2019 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 06 Dec 2019 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 06 Dec 2019 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 07 Dec 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 07 Dec 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmSomalia3,955 
100-250 mmYemen, Somalia, Ethiopia242,676
+
Yemen43,287 
Somalia184,252 
Ethiopia15,137 
50-100 mmOman, Yemen, Somalia, Djibouti, Ethiopia687,062
+
Oman15 
Yemen13,603 
Somalia465,742 
Djibouti24,927 
Ethiopia182,775 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Dec 2019 12:00 476 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 03 Dec 2019 00:00 508 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 03 Dec 2019 12:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 04 Dec 2019 00:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 04 Dec 2019 12:00 262 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 05 Dec 2019 00:00 427 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 05 Dec 2019 12:00 172 -
- - - - - Somalia
Blue 8 06 Dec 2019 00:00 213 Few people
- - - - Somalia
Blue 9 06 Dec 2019 12:00 292 9 thousand
- - - - Somalia
Blue 10 07 Dec 2019 00:00 198 5 thousand
- - - - Somalia
Blue 11 07 Dec 2019 12:00 234 30 thousand
- - - - Djibouti, Somalia, Ethiopia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Baarbacadle, Somalia. This height is estimated for 03 Dec 2019 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Dec 2019 01:00 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.3
03 Dec 2019 01:00 Eyl Somalia  0.3
03 Dec 2019 01:00 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.3
03 Dec 2019 06:00 Sala Gon Somalia  0.3
03 Dec 2019 06:00 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.3
03 Dec 2019 06:00 Xaafuun Somalia  0.3
02 Dec 2019 19:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.3
02 Dec 2019 20:30 Aiesloho Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 20:30 Mach Somalia  0.2
04 Dec 2019 02:00 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 20:30 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
04 Dec 2019 21:00 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.2
04 Dec 2019 21:00 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.2
02 Dec 2019 19:30 Hen Daier Somalia  0.2
04 Dec 2019 01:15 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.2
02 Dec 2019 19:30 Hobyo Somalia  0.2
05 Dec 2019 11:45 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.2
05 Dec 2019 11:45 Ceel Dhahanaan Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 01:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.2
04 Dec 2019 02:15 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
04 Dec 2019 02:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
04 Dec 2019 02:15 Saylac Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 02:30 'Ag Somalia  0.2
06 Dec 2019 15:00 Darimoh Somalia  0.2
04 Dec 2019 01:45 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
03 Dec 2019 09:30 Midi Yemen  0.2
03 Dec 2019 09:30 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.2
06 Dec 2019 15:30 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 03:45 Kamaran Yemen  0.2
03 Dec 2019 03:45 Sayfaf Yemen  0.2
03 Dec 2019 03:45 Al Jazirah Yemen  0.2
03 Dec 2019 03:45 Qurayyah Yemen  0.2
03 Dec 2019 03:45 Al Khawbah Yemen  0.2
03 Dec 2019 03:45 Ibn Abbas Yemen  0.2
03 Dec 2019 04:00 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 04:00 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 04:00 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 04:00 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 04:00 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 04:00 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 04:00 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 09:15 Al Madasikah Yemen  0.2
05 Dec 2019 12:15 Ascira Somalia  0.2
06 Dec 2019 16:00 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.2
06 Dec 2019 09:15 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.2
04 Dec 2019 19:15 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.2
04 Dec 2019 21:00 Hajambar Saudi Arabia  0.2
04 Dec 2019 21:00 'Arid Saudi Arabia  0.2
06 Dec 2019 04:15 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.2
07 Dec 2019 02:15 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.2
04 Dec 2019 18:30 Lakabi Oman  0.2
04 Dec 2019 18:30 Qaysad Oman  0.2
03 Dec 2019 01:30 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.2
03 Dec 2019 01:30 Al Fazah Yemen  0.2
03 Dec 2019 01:45 Al Ghulayfiqah Yemen  0.2
05 Dec 2019 04:45 Rehayto Eritrea  0.2
04 Dec 2019 01:45 Obock Djibouti  0.2
03 Dec 2019 05:45 Boho Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 05:45 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 05:45 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 06:15 Jizan Saudi Arabia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 06:15 Al Karbus Saudi Arabia  0.2
03 Dec 2019 06:15 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.1
04 Dec 2019 02:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
04 Dec 2019 02:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
03 Dec 2019 06:30 Qawz al Ja'afirah Saudi Arabia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 06:30 Mansiyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
05 Dec 2019 12:15 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 01:15 Tooxin Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 04:30 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 04:30 Marero Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 04:30 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:45 Murad Yemen  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:45 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:45 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
06 Dec 2019 20:30 Dauli Somalia  0.1
02 Dec 2019 14:30 Garahadde Somalia  0.1
04 Dec 2019 02:00 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
04 Dec 2019 13:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
04 Dec 2019 13:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
03 Dec 2019 05:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
07 Dec 2019 02:00 Culli Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 01:30 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
04 Dec 2019 16:45 Al Luyhayyah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 02:45 Al 'Urj Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 02:00 Karmu Eritrea  0.1
03 Dec 2019 02:45 Jabanah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 02:00 Al Hudaydah Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 02:00 Idi Eritrea  0.1
03 Dec 2019 02:00 Halaba Eritrea  0.1
03 Dec 2019 05:30 Beraisole Eritrea  0.1
03 Dec 2019 01:15 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
06 Dec 2019 09:00 Maushij Yemen  0.1
06 Dec 2019 09:00 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
04 Dec 2019 02:00 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:30 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:30 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:30 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:30 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
03 Dec 2019 05:30 Behld Eritrea  0.1
05 Dec 2019 15:00 Qishn Yemen  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:45 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:30 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 13:00 Alela Eritrea  0.1
07 Dec 2019 13:00 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
05 Dec 2019 15:15 Botiala Somalia  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:45 'Imran Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 01:00 Gishub Yemen  0.1
03 Dec 2019 01:00 Steroh Yemen  0.1
06 Dec 2019 09:15 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 14:45 Anteral Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 14:30 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
07 Dec 2019 14:30 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
05 Dec 2019 13:30 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:45 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
05 Dec 2019 15:45 Tabut Yemen  0.1
05 Dec 2019 15:45 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:45 Maallah Yemen  0.1
05 Dec 2019 14:00 Geeri Somalia  0.1
05 Dec 2019 14:00 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:30 Berbera Somalia  0.1
04 Dec 2019 01:45 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 02:30 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
07 Dec 2019 14:45 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
05 Dec 2019 04:30 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
06 Dec 2019 09:00 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1