Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan
15 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries China, North Korea, Japan, South Korea, Philippines
Exposed population 170 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (15 Sep 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 104 km/h 1.1 m 66 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 2.1 m 570 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

158 km/h

Up to 12.8 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Japan11,261 
CAT. 1Japan158,113 
Tropical StormChina, North Korea, Japan, South Korea, Philippines12,793,216
+
China5,904,625 
North Korea1,572 
Japan6,882,801 
South Korea78 
Philippines4,138 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 2 13 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2022 06:00 158 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 137 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 5 13 Sep 2022 18:00 144 -
- - - - - Russia, China
GREEN 6 14 Sep 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Russia, South Korea, China, Japan
GREEN 7 14 Sep 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 8 14 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 9 14 Sep 2022 18:00 104 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 10 15 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 11 15 Sep 2022 06:00 101 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 12 15 Sep 2022 12:00 184 170 thousand
- - - China, North Korea, Japan, South Korea, Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmJapan28,693 
100-250 mmChina, Japan, Philippines14,310,310
+
China11,586,484 
Japan2,701,384 
Philippines22,441 
50-100 mmChina, Russia, Japan, North Korea, Philippines27,904,795
+
China17,270,853 
Russia90,967 
Japan5,062,866 
North Korea261,329 
Philippines5,218,779 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 134 -
- - - - - China
Blue 2 13 Sep 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - China
Blue 3 13 Sep 2022 06:00 225 -
- - - - - China
Blue 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 142 -
- - - - - China
Blue 5 13 Sep 2022 18:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 14 Sep 2022 00:00 157 -
- - - - - China
Blue 7 14 Sep 2022 06:00 111 330 thousand
- - - - China, Japan, Philippines
Blue 8 14 Sep 2022 12:00 190 -
- - - - - China
Blue 9 14 Sep 2022 18:00 124 -
- - - - - China
Blue 10 15 Sep 2022 00:00 85 -
- - - - - China
Blue 11 15 Sep 2022 06:00 143 10 thousand
- - - - China, Philippines
Blue 12 15 Sep 2022 12:00 567 14.3 million
- - - China, Russia, Japan, North Korea, Philippines




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.1 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC