Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan
17 Sep 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.7 m (18 Sep 22:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 140 km/h 1.7 m 108 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 2.1 m 570 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

158 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Japan707 
Tropical StormJapan, North Korea, China, South Korea21,621,991
+
Japan20,031,175 
North Korea323,699 
China630,423 
South Korea636,692 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 2 13 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2022 06:00 158 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 137 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 5 13 Sep 2022 18:00 144 -
- - - - - Russia, China
GREEN 6 14 Sep 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Russia, South Korea, China, Japan
GREEN 7 14 Sep 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 8 14 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 9 14 Sep 2022 18:00 104 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 10 15 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 11 15 Sep 2022 06:00 101 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 12 15 Sep 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 13 15 Sep 2022 18:00 144 -
- - - - - China, Philippines
GREEN 14 16 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 15 16 Sep 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - North Korea
GREEN 16 16 Sep 2022 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 17 16 Sep 2022 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 18 17 Sep 2022 00:00 130 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 19 17 Sep 2022 06:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 20 17 Sep 2022 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 21 17 Sep 2022 18:00 140 Few people
- - - - Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmJapan8,534 
250-500 mmJapan4,353,821 
100-250 mmJapan, Philippines27,684,641
+
Japan27,680,749 
Philippines3,891 
50-100 mmRussia, Japan, South Korea, China, Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands, Micronesia, Malaysia79,545,564
+
Russia15,078 
Japan52,030,039 
South Korea2,230,422 
China84,875 
Philippines25,171,679 
Northern Mariana Islands1,496 
Micronesia384 
Malaysia11,587 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 134 -
- - - - - China
Blue 2 13 Sep 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - China
Blue 3 13 Sep 2022 06:00 225 -
- - - - - China
Blue 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 142 -
- - - - - China
Blue 5 13 Sep 2022 18:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 14 Sep 2022 00:00 157 -
- - - - - China
Blue 7 14 Sep 2022 06:00 111 330 thousand
- - - - China, Japan, Philippines
Blue 8 14 Sep 2022 12:00 190 -
- - - - - China
Blue 9 14 Sep 2022 18:00 124 -
- - - - - China
Blue 10 15 Sep 2022 00:00 85 -
- - - - - China
Blue 11 15 Sep 2022 06:00 143 10 thousand
- - - - China, Philippines
Blue 12 15 Sep 2022 12:00 66 -
- - - - - China, Philippines
Blue 13 15 Sep 2022 18:00 106 -
- - - - - China
Blue 14 16 Sep 2022 00:00 124 -
- - - - - China
Blue 15 16 Sep 2022 06:00 96 -
- - - - - China
Blue 16 16 Sep 2022 12:00 140 -
- - - - - China
Blue 17 16 Sep 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 17 Sep 2022 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 17 Sep 2022 06:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 17 Sep 2022 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 17 Sep 2022 18:00 569 32 million
- - Russia, Japan, South Korea, China, Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands, Micronesia, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC