Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan
18 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Russia, Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.3 m (18 Sep 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 115 km/h 1.3 m 122 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 2.1 m 570 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

158 km/h

Up to 19.6 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormRussia, Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea19,642,583
+
Russia158 
Japan18,594,094 
North Korea545,034 
China338,226 
South Korea165,070 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 2 13 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2022 06:00 158 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 137 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 5 13 Sep 2022 18:00 144 -
- - - - - Russia, China
GREEN 6 14 Sep 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Russia, South Korea, China, Japan
GREEN 7 14 Sep 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 8 14 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 9 14 Sep 2022 18:00 104 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 10 15 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 11 15 Sep 2022 06:00 101 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 12 15 Sep 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 13 15 Sep 2022 18:00 144 -
- - - - - China, Philippines
GREEN 14 16 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 15 16 Sep 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - North Korea
GREEN 16 16 Sep 2022 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 17 16 Sep 2022 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 18 17 Sep 2022 00:00 130 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 19 17 Sep 2022 06:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 20 17 Sep 2022 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 21 17 Sep 2022 18:00 140 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 22 18 Sep 2022 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 23 18 Sep 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - Japan, South Korea
GREEN 24 18 Sep 2022 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmJapan3,160 
100-250 mmJapan, South Korea, Philippines9,752,052
+
Japan5,362,974 
South Korea4,299,596 
Philippines89,482 
50-100 mmRussia, Japan, South Korea, China, Philippines31,318,066
+
Russia12,843 
Japan20,362,267 
South Korea2,456,526 
China182,878 
Philippines8,303,550 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 134 -
- - - - - China
Blue 2 13 Sep 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - China
Blue 3 13 Sep 2022 06:00 225 -
- - - - - China
Blue 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 142 -
- - - - - China
Blue 5 13 Sep 2022 18:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 14 Sep 2022 00:00 157 -
- - - - - China
Blue 7 14 Sep 2022 06:00 111 330 thousand
- - - - China, Japan, Philippines
Blue 8 14 Sep 2022 12:00 190 -
- - - - - China
Blue 9 14 Sep 2022 18:00 124 -
- - - - - China
Blue 10 15 Sep 2022 00:00 85 -
- - - - - China
Blue 11 15 Sep 2022 06:00 143 10 thousand
- - - - China, Philippines
Blue 12 15 Sep 2022 12:00 66 -
- - - - - China, Philippines
Blue 13 15 Sep 2022 18:00 106 -
- - - - - China
Blue 14 16 Sep 2022 00:00 124 -
- - - - - China
Blue 15 16 Sep 2022 06:00 96 -
- - - - - China
Blue 16 16 Sep 2022 12:00 140 -
- - - - - China
Blue 17 16 Sep 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 17 Sep 2022 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 17 Sep 2022 06:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 17 Sep 2022 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 17 Sep 2022 18:00 108 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 22 18 Sep 2022 00:00 169 1 million
- - - - Japan
Blue 23 18 Sep 2022 06:00 187 1.3 million
- - - - Japan
Blue 24 18 Sep 2022 12:00 427 9.8 million
- - - Russia, Japan, South Korea, China, Philippines




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.3 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC