Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for NANMADOL-22 in Japan from 12 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC to 19 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22

in Japan

19 Sep 2022 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Russia, China, Japan
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	97 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (22 Sep 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	97 km/h	0.9 m	101 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	158 km/h	2.1 m	570 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

158 km/h

Up to 4.8 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Russia, China, Japan	4,780,892	+
	Russia	3,604
	China	758,467
	Japan	4,018,819

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	12 Sep 2022 18:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
2	13 Sep 2022 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
3	13 Sep 2022 06:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
4	13 Sep 2022 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
5	13 Sep 2022 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	Russia, China
6	14 Sep 2022 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	Russia, South Korea, China, Japan
7	14 Sep 2022 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Japan
8	14 Sep 2022 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Japan
9	14 Sep 2022 18:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Japan
10	15 Sep 2022 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	China
11	15 Sep 2022 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Japan
12	15 Sep 2022 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	China
13	15 Sep 2022 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Philippines
14	16 Sep 2022 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	China
15	16 Sep 2022 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	North Korea
16	16 Sep 2022 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
17	16 Sep 2022 18:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
18	17 Sep 2022 00:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
19	17 Sep 2022 06:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
20	17 Sep 2022 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
21	17 Sep 2022 18:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
22	18 Sep 2022 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
23	18 Sep 2022 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan, South Korea
24	18 Sep 2022 12:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan, South Korea
25	18 Sep 2022 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	North Korea, South Korea, Japan
26	19 Sep 2022 00:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	North Korea, China, South Korea, Japan
27	19 Sep 2022 06:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	North Korea, South Korea, Japan
28	19 Sep 2022 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan, North Korea, South Korea
29	19 Sep 2022 18:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	Russia, China, Japan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Philippines	7,841,224
50-100 mm	China, Japan, Philippines, Micronesia	27,799,269	+
	China	2,358,604
	Japan	514,143
	Philippines	24,926,520
	Micronesia	01

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	12 Sep 2022 18:00	134	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
2	13 Sep 2022 00:00	137	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
3	13 Sep 2022 06:00	225	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
4	13 Sep 2022 12:00	142	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
5	13 Sep 2022 18:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	14 Sep 2022 00:00	157	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
7	14 Sep 2022 06:00	111	330 thousand			-	-	-	-	China, Japan, Philippines
8	14 Sep 2022 12:00	190	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
9	14 Sep 2022 18:00	124	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
10	15 Sep 2022 00:00	85	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
11	15 Sep 2022 06:00	143	10 thousand			-	-	-	-	China, Philippines
12	15 Sep 2022 12:00	66	-		-	-	-	-	-	China, Philippines
13	15 Sep 2022 18:00	106	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
14	16 Sep 2022 00:00	124	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
15	16 Sep 2022 06:00	96	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
16	16 Sep 2022 12:00	140	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
17	16 Sep 2022 18:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	17 Sep 2022 00:00	88	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	17 Sep 2022 06:00	152	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	17 Sep 2022 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	17 Sep 2022 18:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan
22	18 Sep 2022 00:00	169	1 million			-	-	-	-	Japan
23	18 Sep 2022 06:00	187	1.3 million			-	-	-	-	Japan
24	18 Sep 2022 12:00	122	110 thousand			-	-	-	-	South Korea, Japan
25	18 Sep 2022 18:00	123	10 thousand			-	-	-	-	Japan
26	19 Sep 2022 00:00	171	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan
27	19 Sep 2022 06:00	208	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan
28	19 Sep 2022 12:00	158	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan, Philippines
29	19 Sep 2022 18:00	276	7.8 million			-	-	-	-	China, Japan, Philippines, Micronesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.9 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.