Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for NANMADOL-22 in Japan from 12 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC to 19 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22

in Japan

16 Sep 2022 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	North Korea, China, Japan, South Korea
Exposed population	200 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	144 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.5 m (16 Sep 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	144 km/h	1.5 m	124 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	158 km/h	2.1 m	570 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

158 km/h

Up to 200 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	Japan	202,247
Tropical Storm	North Korea, China, Japan, South Korea	13,068,566	+
	North Korea	1,140
	China	1,543,260
	Japan	11,347,708
	South Korea	176,457

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	12 Sep 2022 18:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
2	13 Sep 2022 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
3	13 Sep 2022 06:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
4	13 Sep 2022 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
5	13 Sep 2022 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	Russia, China
6	14 Sep 2022 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	Russia, South Korea, China, Japan
7	14 Sep 2022 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Japan
8	14 Sep 2022 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Japan
9	14 Sep 2022 18:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Japan
10	15 Sep 2022 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	China
11	15 Sep 2022 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Japan
12	15 Sep 2022 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	China
13	15 Sep 2022 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Philippines
14	16 Sep 2022 00:00	169	200 thousand		-	-	-	-	North Korea, China, Japan, South Korea

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
500-750 mm	Japan	5,046
250-500 mm	Japan	3,225,030
100-250 mm	China, Japan	6,978,667	+
	China	1,283,998
	Japan	5,694,669
50-100 mm	China, Russia, South Korea, Japan, Philippines, Guam, Micronesia	28,493,770	+
	China	16,339,569
	Russia	6,206
	South Korea	214,183
	Japan	9,467,075
	Philippines	2,462,378
	Guam	3,663
	Micronesia	694

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	12 Sep 2022 18:00	134	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
2	13 Sep 2022 00:00	137	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
3	13 Sep 2022 06:00	225	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
4	13 Sep 2022 12:00	142	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
5	13 Sep 2022 18:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	14 Sep 2022 00:00	157	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
7	14 Sep 2022 06:00	111	330 thousand			-	-	-	-	China, Japan, Philippines
8	14 Sep 2022 12:00	190	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
9	14 Sep 2022 18:00	124	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
10	15 Sep 2022 00:00	85	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
11	15 Sep 2022 06:00	143	10 thousand			-	-	-	-	China, Philippines
12	15 Sep 2022 12:00	66	-		-	-	-	-	-	China, Philippines
13	15 Sep 2022 18:00	106	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
14	16 Sep 2022 00:00	828	10.2 million					-	-	China, Russia, South Korea, Japan, Philippines, Guam, Micronesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.