Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan
18 Sep 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.5 m (18 Sep 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 122 km/h 1.5 m 169 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 2.1 m 570 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan, North Korea, China, South Korea20,415,370
+
Japan19,309,198 
North Korea443,922 
China268,783 
South Korea393,465 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 2 13 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2022 06:00 158 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 137 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 5 13 Sep 2022 18:00 144 -
- - - - - Russia, China
GREEN 6 14 Sep 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Russia, South Korea, China, Japan
GREEN 7 14 Sep 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 8 14 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 9 14 Sep 2022 18:00 104 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 10 15 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 11 15 Sep 2022 06:00 101 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 12 15 Sep 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 13 15 Sep 2022 18:00 144 -
- - - - - China, Philippines
GREEN 14 16 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 15 16 Sep 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - North Korea
GREEN 16 16 Sep 2022 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 17 16 Sep 2022 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 18 17 Sep 2022 00:00 130 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 19 17 Sep 2022 06:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 20 17 Sep 2022 12:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 21 17 Sep 2022 18:00 140 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 22 18 Sep 2022 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

570 mm

Up to 26.6 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmJapan2,382,167 
100-250 mmRussia, Japan, South Korea, Philippines24,210,818
+
Russia3,876 
Japan23,344,513 
South Korea744,445 
Philippines117,983 
50-100 mmRussia, Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands, Malaysia86,054,651
+
Russia12,224 
Japan51,438,660 
South Korea3,382,687 
Philippines31,134,249 
Northern Mariana Islands2,567 
Malaysia84,263 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 134 -
- - - - - China
Blue 2 13 Sep 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - China
Blue 3 13 Sep 2022 06:00 225 -
- - - - - China
Blue 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 142 -
- - - - - China
Blue 5 13 Sep 2022 18:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 14 Sep 2022 00:00 157 -
- - - - - China
Blue 7 14 Sep 2022 06:00 111 330 thousand
- - - - China, Japan, Philippines
Blue 8 14 Sep 2022 12:00 190 -
- - - - - China
Blue 9 14 Sep 2022 18:00 124 -
- - - - - China
Blue 10 15 Sep 2022 00:00 85 -
- - - - - China
Blue 11 15 Sep 2022 06:00 143 10 thousand
- - - - China, Philippines
Blue 12 15 Sep 2022 12:00 66 -
- - - - - China, Philippines
Blue 13 15 Sep 2022 18:00 106 -
- - - - - China
Blue 14 16 Sep 2022 00:00 124 -
- - - - - China
Blue 15 16 Sep 2022 06:00 96 -
- - - - - China
Blue 16 16 Sep 2022 12:00 140 -
- - - - - China
Blue 17 16 Sep 2022 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 17 Sep 2022 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 17 Sep 2022 06:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 17 Sep 2022 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 17 Sep 2022 18:00 108 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 22 18 Sep 2022 00:00 514 26.6 million
- - - Russia, Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC