Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan
16 Sep 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea
Exposed population 920 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (18 Sep 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 133 km/h 1.6 m 126 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 158 km/h 2.1 m 570 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

158 km/h

Up to 920 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Japan917,983 
Tropical StormJapan, North Korea, China, South Korea16,783,432
+
Japan14,928,693 
North Korea268,084 
China695,919 
South Korea890,734 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 2 13 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2022 06:00 158 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 137 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 5 13 Sep 2022 18:00 144 -
- - - - - Russia, China
GREEN 6 14 Sep 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Russia, South Korea, China, Japan
GREEN 7 14 Sep 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 8 14 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 9 14 Sep 2022 18:00 104 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 10 15 Sep 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 11 15 Sep 2022 06:00 101 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 12 15 Sep 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 13 15 Sep 2022 18:00 144 -
- - - - - China, Philippines
GREEN 14 16 Sep 2022 00:00 144 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 15 16 Sep 2022 06:00 130 -
- - - - - North Korea
GREEN 16 16 Sep 2022 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 17 16 Sep 2022 18:00 155 920 thousand
- - - - Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmJapan504,509 
250-500 mmJapan5,638,491 
100-250 mmSouth Korea, Japan11,648,559
+
Japan11,592,002 
South Korea56,557 
50-100 mmJapan, Russia, South Korea, Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands, Micronesia19,309,057
+
Japan13,784,673 
Russia12,694 
South Korea4,644,749 
Philippines814,277 
Northern Mariana Islands52,502 
Micronesia159 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 18:00 134 -
- - - - - China
Blue 2 13 Sep 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - China
Blue 3 13 Sep 2022 06:00 225 -
- - - - - China
Blue 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 142 -
- - - - - China
Blue 5 13 Sep 2022 18:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 14 Sep 2022 00:00 157 -
- - - - - China
Blue 7 14 Sep 2022 06:00 111 330 thousand
- - - - China, Japan, Philippines
Blue 8 14 Sep 2022 12:00 190 -
- - - - - China
Blue 9 14 Sep 2022 18:00 124 -
- - - - - China
Blue 10 15 Sep 2022 00:00 85 -
- - - - - China
Blue 11 15 Sep 2022 06:00 143 10 thousand
- - - - China, Philippines
Blue 12 15 Sep 2022 12:00 66 -
- - - - - China, Philippines
Blue 13 15 Sep 2022 18:00 106 -
- - - - - China
Blue 14 16 Sep 2022 00:00 124 -
- - - - - China
Blue 15 16 Sep 2022 06:00 96 -
- - - - - China
Blue 16 16 Sep 2022 12:00 140 -
- - - - - China
Blue 17 16 Sep 2022 18:00 721 17.8 million
- - Japan, Russia, South Korea, Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands, Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC