Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for NANMADOL-22 in Japan from 12 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC to 19 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22

in Japan

16 Sep 2022 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	North Korea, China, South Korea, Japan
Exposed population	320 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	126 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.5 m (19 Sep 02:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	126 km/h	1.5 m	140 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	158 km/h	2.1 m	570 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

158 km/h

Up to 320 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	Japan	319,275
Tropical Storm	North Korea, China, South Korea, Japan	14,972,436	+
	North Korea	180,887
	China	25,769
	South Korea	668,277
	Japan	14,097,502

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	12 Sep 2022 18:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
2	13 Sep 2022 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
3	13 Sep 2022 06:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
4	13 Sep 2022 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	Japan
5	13 Sep 2022 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	Russia, China
6	14 Sep 2022 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	Russia, South Korea, China, Japan
7	14 Sep 2022 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Japan
8	14 Sep 2022 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Japan
9	14 Sep 2022 18:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Japan
10	15 Sep 2022 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	China
11	15 Sep 2022 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Japan
12	15 Sep 2022 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	China
13	15 Sep 2022 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	China, Philippines
14	16 Sep 2022 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	China
15	16 Sep 2022 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	North Korea
16	16 Sep 2022 12:00	148	320 thousand		-	-	-	-	North Korea, China, South Korea, Japan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
750-1000 mm	Japan	114
500-750 mm	Japan	575,505
250-500 mm	Japan	3,219,379
100-250 mm	Japan	12,932,052
50-100 mm	China, Russia, Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Micronesia	6,989,194	+
	China	783,653
	Russia	37,560
	Japan	4,594,476
	South Korea	191,615
	Philippines	1,156,007
	Northern Mariana Islands	55,070
	Guam	169,884
	Micronesia	925

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	12 Sep 2022 18:00	134	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
2	13 Sep 2022 00:00	137	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
3	13 Sep 2022 06:00	225	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
4	13 Sep 2022 12:00	142	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
5	13 Sep 2022 18:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	14 Sep 2022 00:00	157	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
7	14 Sep 2022 06:00	111	330 thousand			-	-	-	-	China, Japan, Philippines
8	14 Sep 2022 12:00	190	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
9	14 Sep 2022 18:00	124	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
10	15 Sep 2022 00:00	85	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
11	15 Sep 2022 06:00	143	10 thousand			-	-	-	-	China, Philippines
12	15 Sep 2022 12:00	66	-		-	-	-	-	-	China, Philippines
13	15 Sep 2022 18:00	106	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
14	16 Sep 2022 00:00	124	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
15	16 Sep 2022 06:00	96	-		-	-	-	-	-	China
16	16 Sep 2022 12:00	756	16.7 million						-	China, Russia, Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Micronesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.