Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (02 Nov 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 94 km/h 0.4 m 136 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m 513 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

176 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 104 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 108 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 137 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndia, Sri Lanka13,403,448
+
India389,848 
Sri Lanka13,013,600 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 233 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 97 -
- - - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 220 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 66 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 134 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 269 -
- - - - - India, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Kambhat India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Kavi India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Sarod India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Wadgam India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 02:45 Ghogha India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 02:15 Dahej India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:15 Harinagar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Mahuva India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Jafarabad India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Tuna India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Jodiya India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Dharabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Rohisa India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Kotada India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Jambura India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Delvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Nawabandar India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 15:30 Mundra India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 01:45 Damka India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Veraval India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Somnath India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Sutrapada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Lodhwa India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Suthri India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Kodinar India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Aramda India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Umbargam India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Maroli India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Daman India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Udvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Gholvad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Bordi India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Gadechi India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Okha India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:30 Mangrol India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:30 Chorwad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Kotra Nes India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Dangarvadi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:30 Shil India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 11:45 Mandvi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Tarapur India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Malyan India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Sika India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Boisar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Bhadia India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Shirgaon India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Palghar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:45 Jhankhar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Dwarka India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Mahim India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:45 Navinal India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:45 Nalasopara India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:45 Agashi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:45 Vasai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Ratia India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Gorser India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:45 Chudeswar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Dongri India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 04:00 Adodar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 04:00 Porbandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Malad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Madhi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:00 Mumbai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:00 Bhogat India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:00 Lamba India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Miyani India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Alibag India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 13:45 Bada Pakistan  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:15 Srivardhan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:15 Bankot India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:15 Kelshi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:30 Revadanda India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:30 Murud India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 00:30 Anjanwel India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 11:30 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 11:30 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:00 Filim Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Boria India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Guhagar India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 13:45 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Mirya India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Ratnagiri India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 14:00 Cheru Pakistan  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Jaigarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Vengurla India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Terekhol India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:15 Purangad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:15 Purnagad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Ankola India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Gokarn India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Kumta India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Vijayadurg India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Adiura India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Chopdem India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Honavar India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Devgarh India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Pural India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:30 Anjuna India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Manki India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Mavalli India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Shirali India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Bhatkal India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Achra India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Belekeri India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 19:30 Malvan India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:30 Marmagao India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:30 Panaji India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:30 Agacaim India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:30 Madgaon India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:30 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Karwar India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 11:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 12:30 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 12:30 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 12:15 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 12:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 12:15 Isa Pakistan  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Advota India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 01:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Bainduru India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Chittadi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Kundapura India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 16:15 Devipatam India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 16:15 Muttupettai India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 16:15 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 16:15 Panalkkulam India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 16:15 Irumeni India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 16:15 Pamban India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:30 Mudalaipalai Sri Lanka  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:30 Kalpitiya Sri Lanka  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:30 Karadipuval Sri Lanka  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:30 Pomparippu Sri Lanka  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Chaudi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Majali India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 16:15 Rameswaram India  0.1