Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21
in India, Pakistan
18 May 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries China, India, Nepal
Exposed population 2.6 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 223 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.5 m (17 May 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 223 km/h 2.5 m 1057 mm 2.5
HWRF Overall 223 km/h 2.5 m 1057 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

223 km/h

Up to 2.6 million in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3India47 
CAT. 2India146,517 
CAT. 1India2,479,368 
Tropical StormChina, India, Nepal94,764,115
+
China3,729 
India94,757,351 
Nepal3,034 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 May 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 May 2021 12:00 101 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 14 May 2021 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 May 2021 00:00 108 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 15 May 2021 06:00 119 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 15 May 2021 12:00 133 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 15 May 2021 18:00 158 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 8 16 May 2021 00:00 187 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 9 16 May 2021 06:00 176 50 thousand
- - - - India
RED 10 16 May 2021 12:00 212 250 thousand
- - - - India
GREEN 11 16 May 2021 18:00 223 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 12 17 May 2021 00:00 220 -
- - - - - India
RED 13 17 May 2021 06:00 220 1.4 million
- - - India
RED 14 17 May 2021 12:00 202 170 thousand
- - - India
RED 15 17 May 2021 18:00 191 1.3 million
- - India
RED 16 18 May 2021 00:00 144 1 million
- - - - China, India, Nepal
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndia2,769 
250-500 mmIndia1,386,779 
100-250 mmIndia, Nepal79,207,637
+
India78,842,091 
Nepal365,546 
50-100 mmIndia, China, Nepal105,919,679
+
India104,812,741 
China88 
Nepal1,106,849 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 May 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 14 May 2021 12:00 372 10 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 14 May 2021 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 May 2021 00:00 387 420 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 15 May 2021 06:00 546 Few people
- - - - India
Blue 6 15 May 2021 12:00 270 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 7 15 May 2021 18:00 241 8 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 8 16 May 2021 00:00 288 9 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 9 16 May 2021 06:00 238 6 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 10 16 May 2021 12:00 335 210 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 11 16 May 2021 18:00 346 490 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 12 17 May 2021 00:00 286 210 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 13 17 May 2021 06:00 286 210 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 14 17 May 2021 12:00 388 1.2 million
- - - - India
Blue 15 17 May 2021 18:00 293 620 thousand
- - - India
Blue 16 18 May 2021 00:00 494 55 million
- - - India, China, Nepal




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

2.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.5m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 17 May 2021 19:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
2.0 - 3.0 mIndia140,229 
1.0 - 2.0 mIndia722,576 
0.5 - 1.0 mIndia2,836,457 
0.25 - 0.5 mPakistan, India, Sri Lanka339,704
+
Pakistan2,485 
India299,729 
Sri Lanka37,488 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 May 2021 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 May 2021 19:15 Wadgam India  2.5
17 May 2021 19:30 Kambhat India  2.5
17 May 2021 19:30 Kavi India  2.5
17 May 2021 19:30 Sarod India  2.5
17 May 2021 17:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  2.4
17 May 2021 17:15 Mahuva India  2.4
17 May 2021 19:30 Tankari India  2.4
17 May 2021 17:15 Kotada India  2.3
17 May 2021 17:45 Asarsa India  2.2
17 May 2021 17:30 Harinagar India  2.2
17 May 2021 17:30 Ghogha India  2.1
17 May 2021 17:15 Dahej India  2.1
17 May 2021 17:00 Jafarabad India  2.1
17 May 2021 17:30 Muler India  2.1
17 May 2021 16:15 Hansot India  2.1
17 May 2021 15:30 Bhagva India  1.9
17 May 2021 15:30 Damka India  1.9
17 May 2021 15:30 Olpad India  1.9
17 May 2021 14:00 Surat India  1.8
17 May 2021 14:00 Jalalpur India  1.8
17 May 2021 14:00 Mahuver India  1.8
17 May 2021 12:15 Dharabandar India  1.8
17 May 2021 12:15 Rohisa India  1.8
17 May 2021 14:15 Nausari India  1.7
17 May 2021 14:15 Navsari India  1.7
17 May 2021 14:15 Dharasana India  1.6
17 May 2021 14:15 Valsad India  1.6
17 May 2021 14:45 Bilimora India  1.5
17 May 2021 14:15 Udvada India  1.5
17 May 2021 12:00 Delvada India  1.5
17 May 2021 12:00 Nawabandar India  1.5
17 May 2021 14:15 Daman India  1.5
17 May 2021 14:30 Maroli India  1.4
17 May 2021 14:00 Umbargam India  1.4
17 May 2021 14:45 Bordi India  1.3
17 May 2021 14:45 Gholvad India  1.3
17 May 2021 15:00 Malyan India  1.2
17 May 2021 14:45 Sakhare India  1.1
17 May 2021 14:45 Tarapur India  1.1
16 May 2021 13:30 Purangad India  1.0
16 May 2021 13:30 Purnagad India  1.0
16 May 2021 13:30 Adiura India  1.0
17 May 2021 15:00 Boisar India  1.0
16 May 2021 13:30 Ratnagiri India  1.0
16 May 2021 13:30 Vijayadurg India  1.0
16 May 2021 13:30 Mirya India  1.0
17 May 2021 09:45 Nalasopara India  1.0
17 May 2021 09:45 Agashi India  1.0
17 May 2021 09:45 Dongri India  1.0
17 May 2021 09:45 Vasai India  1.0
17 May 2021 09:45 Mira Bhayandar India  1.0
16 May 2021 13:45 Devgarh India  1.0
16 May 2021 13:45 Pural India  1.0
17 May 2021 10:45 Mumbai India  1.0
17 May 2021 10:45 Asumumbay India  1.0
17 May 2021 10:45 Uran India  1.0
17 May 2021 10:45 Trombay India  1.0
17 May 2021 10:45 Diva India  1.0
17 May 2021 10:45 Taloje India  1.0
16 May 2021 20:15 Boria India  0.9
16 May 2021 20:15 Guhagar India  0.9
16 May 2021 20:15 Anjanwel India  0.9
16 May 2021 14:00 Jaigarh India  0.9
17 May 2021 09:15 Navghar India  0.9
17 May 2021 09:15 Malad India  0.9
16 May 2021 20:00 Bankot India  0.9
16 May 2021 20:00 Kelshi India  0.9
17 May 2021 12:15 Shirgaon India  0.9
17 May 2021 12:15 Palghar India  0.9
17 May 2021 12:15 Mahim India  0.9
17 May 2021 12:00 Dangarvadi India  0.9
16 May 2021 19:45 Srivardhan India  0.9
17 May 2021 09:15 Mandve India  0.9
17 May 2021 03:00 Murud India  0.8
17 May 2021 03:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.8
17 May 2021 12:15 Kotra Nes India  0.8
16 May 2021 13:45 Achra India  0.8
16 May 2021 07:45 Vengurla India  0.8
16 May 2021 07:45 Terekhol India  0.8
17 May 2021 09:00 Alibag India  0.8
17 May 2021 09:00 Revadanda India  0.8
16 May 2021 14:00 Malvan India  0.8
16 May 2021 03:45 Marmagao India  0.7
16 May 2021 03:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.7
16 May 2021 03:45 Panaji India  0.7
16 May 2021 03:45 Agacaim India  0.7
16 May 2021 03:45 Madgaon India  0.7
16 May 2021 07:15 Chopdem India  0.7
16 May 2021 07:15 Anjuna India  0.7
15 May 2021 19:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.7
15 May 2021 19:30 Karwar India  0.7
15 May 2021 19:30 Belekeri India  0.7
15 May 2021 19:45 Ankola India  0.6
15 May 2021 19:45 Gokarn India  0.6
17 May 2021 12:30 Kodinar India  0.6
16 May 2021 04:15 Advota India  0.6
16 May 2021 04:15 Chaudi India  0.6
15 May 2021 19:15 Majali India  0.6
15 May 2021 20:30 Kumta India  0.6
15 May 2021 20:30 Honavar India  0.6
15 May 2021 20:30 Manki India  0.6
15 May 2021 20:30 Mavalli India  0.5
15 May 2021 20:30 Shirali India  0.5
15 May 2021 20:30 Bhatkal India  0.5
17 May 2021 12:30 Lodhwa India  0.5
15 May 2021 12:45 Bainduru India  0.5
15 May 2021 12:45 Chittadi India  0.5
17 May 2021 12:45 Sutrapada India  0.4
17 May 2021 12:45 Veraval India  0.4
17 May 2021 12:45 Somnath India  0.4
15 May 2021 12:15 Kundapura India  0.4
15 May 2021 11:15 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.4
15 May 2021 11:15 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.4
15 May 2021 11:00 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.4
15 May 2021 11:00 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.4
15 May 2021 12:30 Udipi India  0.4
15 May 2021 10:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.4
15 May 2021 07:30 Mulki India  0.4
14 May 2021 17:00 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.3
19 May 2021 18:15 New Kandla India  0.3
19 May 2021 18:15 Navlakhi India  0.3
19 May 2021 18:15 Tuna India  0.3
20 May 2021 13:00 Chiruttoppu Sri Lanka  0.3
20 May 2021 13:00 Mannar Sri Lanka  0.3
20 May 2021 13:00 Periyavilankuli Sri Lanka  0.3
20 May 2021 13:00 Attimoddai Sri Lanka  0.3
21 May 2021 00:00 Akri India  0.3
19 May 2021 18:00 Jodiya India  0.3
17 May 2021 22:30 Chorwad India  0.3
19 May 2021 17:45 Jambura India  0.3
15 May 2021 07:15 Mangaluru India  0.3
14 May 2021 16:15 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.3
20 May 2021 22:45 Ghuar Mota India  0.3
14 May 2021 16:15 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.3
15 May 2021 07:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.3
15 May 2021 07:30 Kumbla India  0.3
19 May 2021 17:45 Mundra India  0.3
19 May 2021 15:45 Aramda India  0.3
19 May 2021 17:30 Sika India  0.3
17 May 2021 21:45 Chudeswar India  0.2
17 May 2021 21:45 Salaya India  0.2
19 May 2021 17:15 Jhankhar India  0.2
17 May 2021 22:15 Mangrol India  0.2
19 May 2021 17:30 Navinal India  0.2
14 May 2021 17:15 Vellankulam Sri Lanka  0.2
17 May 2021 14:15 Ratia India  0.2
17 May 2021 14:15 Gorser India  0.2
17 May 2021 14:15 Shil India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:15 Bhadia India  0.2
19 May 2021 16:00 Mandvi India  0.2
14 May 2021 22:30 Talaimannar Sri Lanka  0.2
14 May 2021 16:15 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.2
19 May 2021 17:15 Gadechi India  0.2
19 May 2021 17:15 Okha India  0.2
17 May 2021 17:45 Miyani India  0.2
17 May 2021 17:45 Porbandar India  0.2
17 May 2021 17:45 Adodar India  0.2
14 May 2021 22:15 Silavatturai Sri Lanka  0.2
15 May 2021 07:45 Kasaragod India  0.2
19 May 2021 15:00 Suthri India  0.2
15 May 2021 07:45 Madayipara India  0.2
15 May 2021 07:45 Madayi India  0.2
15 May 2021 07:45 Kannapuram India  0.2
15 May 2021 07:45 Chirakkal India  0.2
15 May 2021 07:45 Valapattanam India  0.2
15 May 2021 07:45 Azhikkal India  0.2
15 May 2021 07:45 Cannanore India  0.2
15 May 2021 07:15 Bekal India  0.2
15 May 2021 07:30 Nileshwar India  0.2
17 May 2021 17:45 Lamba India  0.2
15 May 2021 08:00 Trikkaripur India  0.2
15 May 2021 07:45 Chervattur India  0.2
15 May 2021 03:15 Kozhikode India  0.2
15 May 2021 03:15 Beypore India  0.2
15 May 2021 03:15 Chaliyam India  0.2
15 May 2021 03:15 Tirurangadi India  0.2
15 May 2021 03:15 Tanur India  0.2
14 May 2021 23:00 Tellicherry India  0.2
14 May 2021 23:00 Mahe India  0.2
14 May 2021 23:00 Badagara India  0.2
14 May 2021 23:00 Payyoli India  0.2
14 May 2021 22:45 Mattancheri India  0.2
14 May 2021 22:45 Turavur India  0.2
14 May 2021 23:00 Quilandi India  0.2
14 May 2021 23:00 Talakkolattur India  0.2
14 May 2021 23:00 Edakkad India  0.2
14 May 2021 23:00 Dharmadam India  0.2
14 May 2021 22:45 Cochin India  0.2
19 May 2021 15:15 Dwarka India  0.2
15 May 2021 02:45 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
15 May 2021 02:45 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
15 May 2021 03:15 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
14 May 2021 19:15 Ponnani India  0.2
14 May 2021 19:15 Veliyangod India  0.2
14 May 2021 19:15 Kadikkad India  0.2
14 May 2021 19:15 Manattala India  0.2
14 May 2021 19:15 Chavakkad India  0.2
14 May 2021 19:15 Guruvayur India  0.2
14 May 2021 19:15 Chaughat India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:15 Bhogat India  0.2
17 May 2021 18:30 Madhi India  0.2
14 May 2021 22:30 Pappinivatti India  0.2
14 May 2021 22:00 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.2
20 May 2021 15:30 Atirampattinam India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Melmandai India  0.2
14 May 2021 21:15 Vembar India  0.2
14 May 2021 19:00 Talikkulam India  0.2
20 May 2021 13:45 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 13:45 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 21:00 Kilakarai India  0.1
14 May 2021 21:00 Muttupettai India  0.1
14 May 2021 21:00 Panalkkulam India  0.1
14 May 2021 21:00 Irumeni India  0.1
14 May 2021 21:00 Sikkal India  0.1
17 May 2021 10:30 Thoothukkudi India  0.1
20 May 2021 15:00 Kattumavadi India  0.1
20 May 2021 13:45 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 22:30 Alleppey India  0.1
20 May 2021 16:00 Kodigeri India  0.1
20 May 2021 16:00 Vedaranyam India  0.1
20 May 2021 16:00 Vedaranniyam India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Keti Pakistan  0.1
18 May 2021 13:00 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
18 May 2021 13:00 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 22:30 Ambalapulai India  0.1
15 May 2021 02:45 Gurdim Iran  0.1
15 May 2021 02:45 Guraim Iran  0.1
15 May 2021 02:45 Dorri Iran  0.1
15 May 2021 02:45 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.1
15 May 2021 02:45 Machan Iran  0.1
15 May 2021 02:45 Konarak Iran  0.1
15 May 2021 00:45 Nizampatam India  0.1
15 May 2021 00:45 Kottapalem India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Brar Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 15:00 Manamelkudi India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Isa Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
15 May 2021 02:30 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
16 May 2021 00:45 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
16 May 2021 00:45 'Urf Oman  0.1
16 May 2021 00:45 Mursays Oman  0.1
16 May 2021 00:45 Hiql Oman  0.1
16 May 2021 00:45 Maghilah Oman  0.1
17 May 2021 15:00 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 14:30 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 14:30 Miski Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 18:00 Ullapalem India  0.1
14 May 2021 18:00 Pakala India  0.1
14 May 2021 18:00 Kottapatnam India  0.1
15 May 2021 03:45 Haripad India  0.1
15 May 2021 00:30 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
20 May 2021 14:00 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
14 May 2021 17:45 Delft Centre Sri Lanka  0.1
14 May 2021 21:45 Pomparippu Sri Lanka  0.1
15 May 2021 15:45 Al Kalban Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 18:30 Kakinada India  0.1
18 May 2021 00:15 Had Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 16:15 Cuddalore India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:15 Purnankuppam India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:15 Pondicherry India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 17:45 Kodur India  0.1
15 May 2021 16:30 Vanak Iran  0.1
15 May 2021 12:45 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 22:45 Kayankulam India  0.1
14 May 2021 22:45 Karunagapalli India  0.1
14 May 2021 18:30 Peddapatnam India  0.1
14 May 2021 16:30 Bayahi Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 15:45 Ghalat Oman  0.1
14 May 2021 15:45 Sharkh Oman  0.1
20 May 2021 15:15 Ammapatam India  0.1
14 May 2021 17:30 Govundlapalem India  0.1
19 May 2021 14:45 Tis Iran  0.1
19 May 2021 14:45 Chah Bahar Iran  0.1
19 May 2021 14:45 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.1
14 May 2021 21:15 Rameswaram India  0.1