Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 144 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (26 Oct 13:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 144 km/h 0.6 m 260 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 173 km/h 0.6 m 923 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Oct 2019 12:00 83 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 25 Oct 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 108 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 26 Oct 2019 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Oct 2019 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

923 mm

Up to Few people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSomalia164 
50-100 mmIndia, Somalia942,854
+
India930,536 
Somalia12,318 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2019 00:00 229 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 24 Oct 2019 12:00 234 -
- - - - - India
Blue 3 25 Oct 2019 00:00 307 -
- - - - - India
Blue 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 402 -
- - - - - India
Blue 5 26 Oct 2019 00:00 305 -
- - - - - India, Somalia, Ethiopia
Blue 6 26 Oct 2019 12:00 809 Few people
- - - - India, Somalia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2019 13:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Oct 2019 13:15 Wadgam India  0.6
26 Oct 2019 13:15 Kambhat India  0.6
26 Oct 2019 13:15 Kavi India  0.6
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Asarsa India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Harinagar India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Ghogha India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 14:00 Mahuva India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 14:15 Kotada India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Dahej India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Tankari India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Muler India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 13:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Nalasopara India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Agashi India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Dongri India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Vasai India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Shirgaon India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Palghar India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Mahim India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:15 Jafarabad India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Damka India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Surat India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Jalalpur India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Mahuver India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:30 Tarapur India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:30 Boisar India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:15 Hansot India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Malad India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Mumbai India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Asumumbay India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:30 Uran India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:30 Trombay India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:30 Diva India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:30 Taloje India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:15 Rohisa India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:15 Malyan India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:45 Bhagva India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Mandve India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Dharabandar India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 13:00 Gholvad India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:30 Bordi India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:30 Umbargam India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:30 Maroli India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Alibag India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:15 Daman India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:15 Udvada India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:00 Delvada India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 14:00 Nawabandar India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 23:45 Dangarvadi India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 21:00 Kotra Nes India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:15 Revadanda India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 21:00 Kodinar India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Murud India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 20:45 Lodhwa India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 21:15 Veraval India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 21:15 Somnath India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 21:15 Sutrapada India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Srivardhan India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 20:30 Chorwad India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:15 Bankot India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:15 Kelshi India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 21:00 Mangrol India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 21:00 Shil India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Boria India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Guhagar India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:45 Anjanwel India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 21:00 Gorser India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 21:30 Ratia India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Jaigarh India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:30 Mirya India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Ratnagiri India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Purnagad India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 21:30 Adodar India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Purangad India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 21:45 Porbandar India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Adiura India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Devgarh India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Pural India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Vengurla India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Terekhol India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Achra India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Chopdem India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Belekeri India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Ankola India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Gokarn India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 21:30 Lamba India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 21:30 Miyani India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Karwar India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Anjuna India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Marmagao India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Panaji India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Agacaim India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Madgaon India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 12:00 Malvan India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 22:00 Bhogat India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:30 Kumta India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Advota India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Chaudi India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Majali India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:30 Honavar India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Manki India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 21:30 Madhi India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 20:30 Dwarka India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 21:00 Gadechi India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 23:30 Okha India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 23:30 Aramda India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 20:00 Suthri India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 22:00 Ghuar Mota India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Mavalli India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Shirali India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 21:30 Chittadi India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 21:30 Kundapura India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 13:45 Bainduru India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 19:15 Bhatkal India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 00:00 Jambura India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 21:15 Udipi India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 00:00 Jhankhar India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 00:00 Sika India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 00:00 Mundra India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 21:00 Mulki India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 00:00 Tuna India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 00:00 Navinal India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 00:00 Mandvi India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 00:00 Bhadia India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 16:00 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
26 Oct 2019 16:00 Mach Somalia  0.1
26 Oct 2019 15:00 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
26 Oct 2019 15:00 'Adan Yemen  0.1