Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MAHA-19 in India from 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC to 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19

in India

04 Nov 2019 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Pakistan
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	148 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (07 Nov 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	148 km/h	0.6 m	215 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	0.4 m	513 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Pakistan	42,617

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Nov 2019 06:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	01 Nov 2019 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	01 Nov 2019 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Nov 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Nov 2019 06:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	02 Nov 2019 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	02 Nov 2019 18:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	03 Nov 2019 00:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	03 Nov 2019 06:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	03 Nov 2019 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	03 Nov 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	04 Nov 2019 00:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	04 Nov 2019 06:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	04 Nov 2019 12:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	04 Nov 2019 18:00	148	-		-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

513 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	India, Maldives	681,459	+
	India	591,496
	Maldives	89,963

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	30 Oct 2019 06:00	233	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	30 Oct 2019 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	30 Oct 2019 18:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	31 Oct 2019 00:00	220	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
5	31 Oct 2019 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	31 Oct 2019 12:00	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	31 Oct 2019 18:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Nov 2019 00:00	170	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Nov 2019 06:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	01 Nov 2019 12:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	01 Nov 2019 18:00	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Nov 2019 00:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Nov 2019 06:00	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	02 Nov 2019 12:00	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	02 Nov 2019 18:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	03 Nov 2019 00:00	124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	03 Nov 2019 06:00	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	03 Nov 2019 12:00	118	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	03 Nov 2019 18:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	04 Nov 2019 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	04 Nov 2019 06:00	168	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	04 Nov 2019 12:00	120	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	04 Nov 2019 18:00	439	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2019 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	07 Nov 2019 14:00	Wadgam	India	0.6
	07 Nov 2019 14:00	Kambhat	India	0.6
	07 Nov 2019 13:45	Kavi	India	0.6
	07 Nov 2019 13:45	Sarod	India	0.6
	07 Nov 2019 11:15	Ghogha	India	0.5
	07 Nov 2019 10:30	Dahej	India	0.5
	07 Nov 2019 10:30	Harinagar	India	0.5
	07 Nov 2019 10:00	Damka	India	0.4
	07 Nov 2019 07:15	Kotada	India	0.3
	07 Nov 2019 07:45	Mahuva	India	0.3
	07 Nov 2019 07:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	07 Nov 2019 03:30	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	07 Nov 2019 04:00	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 04:00	Rohisa	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 00:30	Daman	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 00:30	Udvada	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 00:30	Maroli	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 00:30	Umbargam	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 02:15	Delvada	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 02:15	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 23:45	Bordi	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 23:45	Gholvad	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 02:45	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 23:45	Malyan	India	0.2
	05 Nov 2019 13:15	Bada	Pakistan	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 02:45	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	06 Nov 2019 23:45	Tarapur	India	0.2
	07 Nov 2019 15:15	Tuna	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 15:15	Jodiya	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 22:45	Boisar	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 22:45	Shirgaon	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 22:45	Palghar	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 22:45	Mahim	India	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 04:00	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 04:00	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 15:30	Jambura	India	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 12:00	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 20:45	Sutrapada	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 20:45	Lodhwa	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 20:45	Kodinar	India	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 13:00	Cheru	Pakistan	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 22:15	Nalasopara	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 22:15	Agashi	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 22:15	Vasai	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 21:00	Suthri	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 20:45	Veraval	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 20:45	Somnath	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 22:15	Dongri	India	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 11:15	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 11:15	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 20:45	Okha	India	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 11:15	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 20:15	Gadechi	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 19:45	Aramda	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 13:30	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 13:30	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 13:30	Ammapatam	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 20:15	Dwarka	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 08:15	Anaippapan	Sri Lanka	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 11:15	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 20:30	Mandvi	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 19:30	Chorwad	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 16:00	Tondi	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 16:00	Kottaippattanam	India	0.1
	07 Nov 2019 15:30	Mundra	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 19:45	Bhadia	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 19:15	Mangrol	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 22:30	Malad	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 16:15	Devipatam	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 16:15	Tirupalakudi	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 19:30	Shil	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:30	Ankola	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:30	Gokarn	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:30	Kumta	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:15	Bainduru	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:15	Chittadi	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:15	Kundapura	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:30	Honavar	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:30	Manki	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:30	Mavalli	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:30	Shirali	India	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 07:30	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 19:45	Madhi	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 18:00	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 18:00	Sika	India	0.1
	05 Nov 2019 11:30	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	06 Nov 2019 16:30	Panalkkulam	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 19:15	Chudeswar	India	0.1
	04 Nov 2019 19:00	Navinal	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.