Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	119 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (10 Aug 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	119 km/h	0.3 m	121 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	151 km/h	0.7 m	1071 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	656

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 Aug 2020 06:00	137	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

1071 mm

Up to Few people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico	558
50-100 mm	Mexico	11,962,616

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	197	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	192	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 Aug 2020 06:00	574	Few people			-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Cabo Tepoca, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.3
	10 Aug 2020 10:00	Molino	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 10:00	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 06:45	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 06:15	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 10:30	Maudlowe	United States	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 10:30	Tivoli	United States	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 10:30	Spanish Village	United States	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 10:30	Austwell	United States	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 10:30	North Seadrift	United States	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 10:30	Long Mott	United States	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 10:30	Seadrift	United States	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 09:45	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 09:45	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 10:00	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 06:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 06:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 06:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 06:15	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 12:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 12:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 12:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 07:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 07:30	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:45	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:45	Empalme	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 12:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 12:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 07:45	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 07:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 07:30	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:15	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Aguaje	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 07:00	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Ingleside	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Kenney Lane West Colonia	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Port Ingleside	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Indian Trails Lane Colonia	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Country Acres Colonia	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Country Estates Colonia	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Aransas Pass	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Estes	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Mustang Beach	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Port Aransas	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Rockport	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:00	Shell Ridge	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:45	Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 07:30	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 07:30	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 11:45	Corpus Christi	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 11:45	North Beach	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 11:45	Gardendale	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 11:45	Doyle	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 11:45	Orange Grove	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 11:45	Peary Place	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 11:45	Portland	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 11:45	Gregory	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 11:45	Flour Bluff	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 12:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 11:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:45	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:45	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:45	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 12:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 12:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 07:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:15	Holiday Beach	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:15	Lamar	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 11:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 12:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:15	Copano Village	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 09:15	Fulton	United States	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:30	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:15	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 06:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 12:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	10 Aug 2020 12:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.