Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for YASA-20
in Fiji,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone YASA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Fiji
Exposed population 270 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 223 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (16 Dec 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 223 km/h 0.5 m 196 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 281 km/h 1.3 m 829 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

281 km/h

Up to 270 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Fiji16,124 
CAT. 2Fiji23,287 
CAT. 1Fiji233,468 
Tropical StormFiji594,547 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 122 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - Tonga
GREEN 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 15 Dec 2020 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 16 Dec 2020 00:00 238 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 16 Dec 2020 06:00 223 270 thousand
- - Fiji
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmFiji30,839 
250-500 mmFiji660,173 
100-250 mmFiji181,543 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Tuvalu, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga66,382
+
Solomon Islands941 
Tuvalu39 
Fiji30,652 
Wallis and Futuna15,561 
Tonga19,189 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Dec 2020 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Dec 2020 18:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Dec 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Dec 2020 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Dec 2020 12:00 163 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Dec 2020 18:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Dec 2020 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Dec 2020 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Dec 2020 12:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 14 Dec 2020 18:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 15 Dec 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 15 Dec 2020 06:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 15 Dec 2020 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 15 Dec 2020 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 16 Dec 2020 00:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 16 Dec 2020 06:00 559 870 thousand
- - Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Mamie, New Caledonia. This height is estimated for 16 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Dec 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Mamie New Caledonia  0.5
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.5
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Waho New Caledonia  0.5
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Naindi Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Korosi Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Korotasere Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Naweni Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Nakarambo Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Viani Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.4
16 Dec 2020 09:00 Ouinne New Caledonia  0.3
16 Dec 2020 09:15 Nailanga Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 09:15 Sorokoba Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 09:15 Ba Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 09:15 Natunuka Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 09:15 Tavua Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 08:45 Mbangasau Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 06:00 Lao Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 06:00 Vangai Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 06:00 Nawi Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 06:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Nailou Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Napuka Fiji  0.3
16 Dec 2020 11:30 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 11:30 Meriver Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 11:30 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 11:30 Lamap Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 11:30 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.3
16 Dec 2020 08:45 Malake Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 09:00 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Vunivatu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Navukembuli Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Naua Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:45 Rabulu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Sisili Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Nacula Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Navotua Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Tamusua Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 09:15 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Rakiraki Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Vaileka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Nasau Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:15 Thio New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:15 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:15 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Canala New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 09:30 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 09:15 Namboutini Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 09:15 Soso Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 09:15 Somosomo Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Vatutandova Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:45 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:45 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:45 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:45 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:45 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 09:30 Namaka Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 09:15 Tavua Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 09:30 Solevu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:30 Namukalau Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 09:30 Nadi Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Teci Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Togowere Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:00 Nasea Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 06:00 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 06:00 Thavanga Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 06:00 Ndaria Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 06:00 Rave-rave Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 06:00 Ndawara Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 09:30 Momi Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:45 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:45 Poum New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:45 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:00 Waisa Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:00 Natua Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:00 Mbangata Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:00 Savusavu Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Meomo New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Houailou New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Poro New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:45 Arama New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Mbukama Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Yasawairara Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Touho New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:00 Ponerihouen New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Bayes New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 08:00 Mou New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:00 Korovou Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:00 Lodoni Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:00 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:00 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:00 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 07:00 Navuti Fiji  0.2
16 Dec 2020 06:45 Moneo New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 06:45 Ho New Caledonia  0.2
16 Dec 2020 09:15 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 06:45 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 06:45 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 06:45 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 06:45 Ipota Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 06:45 Ifo Vanuatu  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 08:15 Tawake Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 08:15 Nukusa Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 06:30 Paola New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 06:30 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 08:45 Navindamu Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 07:30 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 07:30 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 07:30 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 07:30 Wala New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 12:00 Nambouono Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Rukuruku Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Lovoni Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Nauouo Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Levuka Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Bweo New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Pairome New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 08:00 Savu Sau Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 08:00 Naingani Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 08:30 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.1
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Balaide New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Saint-Paul New Caledonia  0.1
16 Dec 2020 07:45 Goro New Caledonia  0.1