Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

14 May 2021 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	101 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (14 May 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	101 km/h	0.3 m	372 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	223 km/h	2.5 m	1057 mm	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

223 km/h

Up to 10.8 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	10,804,509

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	14 May 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	14 May 2021 12:00	202	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	811,318
100-250 mm	India	12,586,217
50-100 mm	India	9,911,768

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	14 May 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	14 May 2021 12:00	1234	13.4 million				-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Jaffna, Sri Lanka. This height is estimated for 14 May 2021 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 May 2021 17:00	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:00	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 17:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 16:30	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 16:15	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 16:15	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 15:15	Shirali	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:15	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:15	Bainduru	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:15	Chittadi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 17:15	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:15	Kumta	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:15	Honavar	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:15	Manki	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:15	Mavalli	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:15	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:15	Karwar	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:15	Belekeri	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:15	Ankola	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:15	Gokarn	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:15	Kundapura	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:00	Udipi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Akri	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:45	Mulki	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 17:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:15	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:15	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:15	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:15	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Kumbla	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:15	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:15	Chervattur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:15	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:15	Madayipara	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:15	Madayi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:15	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:15	Bekal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:00	Madgaon	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:00	Marmagao	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:00	Panaji	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:00	Agacaim	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Cannanore	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Edakkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Mahe	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Badagara	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 17:30	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:45	Advota	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:45	Chaudi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:45	Majali	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:45	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Payyoli	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:15	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 14:30	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Salaya	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	New Kandla	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Navlakhi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Sika	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 17:15	Suthri	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Navinal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 18:00	Bhadia	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 17:15	Gadechi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:15	Okha	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:30	Mandvi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Jambura	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Jodiya	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Terekhol	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Chopdem	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Anjuna	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:45	Nalasopara	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:45	Agashi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:45	Dongri	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:45	Vasai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:45	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:45	Navghar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:30	Quilandi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:30	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:30	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Tuna	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Vengurla	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Beypore	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:30	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Tanur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:30	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:30	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:30	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:30	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Shirgaon	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Palghar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Mahim	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Kodigeri	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Vedaranyam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Vedaranniyam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Ponnani	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:30	Boria	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:30	Guhagar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:30	Anjanwel	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:30	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Tarapur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Malyan	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Boisar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Sakhare	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:15	Malad	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:30	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:30	Kalat	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:30	Trombay	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:30	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:30	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:30	Pasni	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:30	Miski	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:30	Jaigarh	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Gurdim	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Guraim	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Dorri	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Pozm Tiab	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Machan	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Konarak	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Ullapalem	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Pakala	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Kottapatnam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Gholvad	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Mirya	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Purnagad	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Purangad	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Adiura	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Malvan	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:15	Mumbai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:15	Asumumbay	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:15	Uran	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:30	Mandve	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:30	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Cochin	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Mattancheri	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Bordi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:45	Bankot	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:45	Kelshi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:45	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:30	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:30	Murud	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:00	Alibag	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Umbargam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Cuddalore	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Purnankuppam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:15	Pondicherry	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:30	Khowr Rapch	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Manattala	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Chavakkad	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Guruvayur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Chaughat	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Talikkulam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:45	Kodur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:30	Pappinivatti	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Kambhat	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Kavi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Sarod	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:00	Revadanda	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Devgarh	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Pural	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Brar	Pakistan	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:45	Srivardhan	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:45	Taloje	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:15	Anaippapan	Sri Lanka	0.1
	14 May 2021 18:00	Maroli	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:30	Vanak	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 16:30	Bayahi	Iran	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:45	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	14 May 2021 15:45	Sharkh	Oman	0.1
	14 May 2021 17:30	Govundlapalem	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 14:45	Achra	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.