Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

15 May 2021 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Pakistan, India
Exposed population	4.6 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	126 km/h
Maximum storm surge	2.1 m (17 May 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	126 km/h	2.1 m	156 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	3.7 m	920 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 4.6 million in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 2	India	545,332
CAT. 1	India	4,018,130
Tropical Storm	Pakistan, India	16,954,738	+
	Pakistan	1,851,990
	India	15,102,748

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	184	4.6 million			-	-	-	Pakistan, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	689,246
100-250 mm	India	7,731,773
50-100 mm	India	36,453,825

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	194	1.3 million		-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	269	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	274	5.1 million		-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	315	1.6 million		-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	227	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	472	8.4 million			-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

2.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 2.1m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 17 May 2021 17:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 May 2021 17:30	Kambhat	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 17:30	Kavi	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 17:30	Sarod	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 17:30	Wadgam	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 17:30	Tankari	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 16:45	Asarsa	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 16:45	Harinagar	India	1.9
	18 May 2021 04:00	Gadechi	India	1.9
	18 May 2021 04:00	Okha	India	1.9
	18 May 2021 04:00	Aramda	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 16:30	Dahej	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 16:30	Muler	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 16:15	Ghogha	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 15:00	Hansot	India	1.7
	18 May 2021 00:45	Adodar	India	1.7
	18 May 2021 00:45	Ratia	India	1.7
	18 May 2021 00:45	Gorser	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 13:45	Kotada	India	1.6
	18 May 2021 02:15	Porbandar	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 13:45	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 13:45	Mahuva	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 15:45	Bhagva	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 13:00	Jafarabad	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 14:45	Damka	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 14:45	Olpad	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 13:00	Dharabandar	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 13:00	Rohisa	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 22:30	Shil	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 02:15	Miyani	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 20:30	Mangrol	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 20:30	Chorwad	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 14:00	Delvada	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 14:00	Nawabandar	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 18:30	Veraval	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 18:30	Somnath	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 18:30	Sutrapada	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 13:45	Surat	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 13:30	Jalalpur	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 13:30	Mahuver	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 02:15	Lamba	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 18:45	Lodhwa	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 13:45	Nausari	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 13:45	Navsari	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 14:00	Kotra Nes	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 14:00	Dangarvadi	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 14:00	Kodinar	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 13:45	Dharasana	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 13:45	Valsad	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 14:00	Bilimora	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 14:00	Udvada	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 13:30	Daman	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 13:30	Maroli	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 13:00	Umbargam	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 13:00	Bordi	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 14:45	Gholvad	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 14:45	Malyan	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 05:15	Bhogat	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 12:00	Sakhare	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 04:45	Madhi	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 15:45	Tarapur	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 12:45	Boisar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 12:45	Shirgaon	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 12:45	Palghar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 12:45	Mahim	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 10:30	Agashi	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 11:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:30	Nalasopara	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 09:30	Dongri	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 09:30	Vasai	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 09:30	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 09:15	Navghar	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 06:15	Dwarka	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 09:15	Malad	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 09:30	Mumbai	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 09:30	Asumumbay	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 09:30	Uran	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 09:30	Trombay	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 09:30	Diva	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 09:30	Taloje	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 01:45	Marmagao	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 01:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 01:45	Panaji	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 01:45	Agacaim	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 01:45	Madgaon	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 09:30	Mandve	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 02:00	Karwar	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Belekeri	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Ankola	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Gokarn	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 06:30	Vengurla	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 06:30	Terekhol	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Advota	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Chaudi	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Majali	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 06:45	Alibag	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 05:30	Chopdem	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 05:30	Anjuna	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 01:45	Murud	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 01:45	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 06:30	Revadanda	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Kumta	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 01:30	Srivardhan	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 00:00	Bankot	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 00:00	Kelshi	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:15	Guhagar	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:15	Anjanwel	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 21:45	Honavar	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 21:45	Manki	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 22:00	Mavalli	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 22:00	Shirali	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 22:00	Bhatkal	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:00	Boria	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:00	Jaigarh	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 05:45	Malvan	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:00	Mirya	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 19:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 21:15	Bainduru	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 21:15	Chittadi	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 08:15	Devgarh	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 08:15	Achra	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 14:30	Purnagad	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 10:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 10:30	Pural	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 12:00	Tuna	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 19:00	Purangad	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 19:00	Adiura	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:00	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:30	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:30	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 21:30	Kundapura	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 12:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:00	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:00	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:00	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:00	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	18 May 2021 02:30	Chudeswar	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 02:30	Salaya	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 12:00	Mundra	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 22:15	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 21:30	Udipi	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 12:00	New Kandla	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 20:45	Mulki	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 12:00	Mandvi	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 12:00	Bhadia	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 23:45	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 19:15	Edakkad	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Mahe	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Badagara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Payyoli	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:00	Kumbla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 23:45	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:45	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:45	Bekal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:00	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Cannanore	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:30	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Madayipara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Madayi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 12:00	Navinal	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 04:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:15	Quilandi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:15	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:15	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:45	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 03:45	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Chervattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:15	Beypore	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:15	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:15	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:15	Tanur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 12:15	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:15	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 20:30	Navlakhi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 20:30	Jodiya	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:00	Kodigeri	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:00	Vedaranyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:00	Vedaranniyam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 15:00	Ponnani	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:00	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:00	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:15	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:15	Melmandai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:15	Vembar	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:00	Atirampattinam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:30	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:30	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 20:15	Jambura	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 03:30	Anaippapan	Sri Lanka	0.1
	18 May 2021 08:30	Ormara Raik	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 08:30	Ormara	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:30	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:30	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 14:30	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	17 May 2021 16:15	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:45	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:45	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:45	Alleppey	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:45	Ambalapulai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:45	Haripad	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 16:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:30	Akri	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:30	Manattala	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:30	Chavakkad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:30	Guruvayur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:30	Chaughat	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:00	Sikkal	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:00	Kilakarai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 16:15	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Talikkulam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:00	Balaru	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Sika	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:45	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:45	Muttupettai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:45	Panalkkulam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:30	Brar	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	Sur Masirah	Oman	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	'Urf	Oman	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	Mursays	Oman	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	Hiql	Oman	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:15	Maghilah	Oman	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:45	Irumeni	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 14:45	Gurdim	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 14:45	Guraim	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 14:45	Dorri	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 14:45	Pozm Tiab	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 14:45	Machan	Iran	0.1
	15 May 2021 14:45	Konarak	Iran	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Cochin	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Mattancheri	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 15:30	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:00	Pappinivatti	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.