Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

17 May 2021 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	4 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	162 km/h
Maximum storm surge	3.3 m (18 May 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	162 km/h	3.3 m	268 mm	1.5
ECMWF Overall	122 km/h	3.1 m	1400 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

122 km/h

Up to 4 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	India	3,658
Tropical Storm	India	30,784,347

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	13 May 2021 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 00:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	India, Maldives
4	15 May 2021 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 12:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
6	16 May 2021 00:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
7	16 May 2021 12:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
8	17 May 2021 00:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
9	17 May 2021 12:00	162	4 thousand		-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,221,882
100-250 mm	India, China, Nepal	142,596,434	+
	China	54
	India	142,293,921
	Nepal	302,459
50-100 mm	China, India, Nepal, Pakistan	140,102,392	+
	China	9,193
	India	135,423,578
	Nepal	4,623,512
	Pakistan	46,107

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	13 May 2021 12:00	345	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 00:00	332	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 12:00	460	140 thousand		-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	869	Few people		-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 12:00	352	620 thousand		-	-	-	-	India
6	16 May 2021 00:00	380	80 thousand		-	-	-	-	India
7	16 May 2021 12:00	421	30 thousand		-	-	-	-	India
8	17 May 2021 00:00	303	2 million		-	-	-	-	India
9	17 May 2021 12:00	306	143.8 million			-	-	-	China, India, Nepal, Pakistan

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

3.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 3.3m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 03:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 May 2021 03:15	Kambhat	India	3.3
	18 May 2021 03:15	Kavi	India	3.3
	18 May 2021 03:15	Sarod	India	3.3
	18 May 2021 02:30	Wadgam	India	3.3
	18 May 2021 02:45	Tankari	India	3.2
	18 May 2021 01:45	Asarsa	India	3.0
	18 May 2021 01:30	Ghogha	India	3.0
	18 May 2021 01:15	Harinagar	India	2.9
	18 May 2021 01:15	Dahej	India	2.9
	17 May 2021 18:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	2.9
	17 May 2021 18:15	Mahuva	India	2.9
	18 May 2021 01:00	Muler	India	2.8
	17 May 2021 18:45	Kotada	India	2.7
	18 May 2021 00:30	Hansot	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 23:15	Bhagva	India	2.4
	17 May 2021 23:00	Damka	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 23:15	Olpad	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 18:00	Jafarabad	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 22:30	Surat	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 21:00	Jalalpur	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 21:00	Mahuver	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 21:00	Nausari	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 21:00	Navsari	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 20:45	Dharasana	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 20:45	Valsad	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 21:15	Bilimora	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 20:45	Udvada	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 19:00	Rohisa	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 20:30	Daman	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 19:00	Dharabandar	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 20:30	Maroli	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 20:00	Umbargam	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 19:45	Bordi	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 19:45	Gholvad	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 19:45	Malyan	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 19:30	Sakhare	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 19:30	Tarapur	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 19:30	Boisar	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 19:15	Delvada	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 19:15	Nawabandar	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 19:15	Shirgaon	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 19:15	Palghar	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 19:15	Mahim	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 15:30	Nalasopara	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 15:30	Agashi	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 15:30	Dongri	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 15:30	Vasai	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 15:30	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 15:30	Navghar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 12:00	Mumbai	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:00	Asumumbay	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:00	Uran	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:00	Trombay	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:00	Diva	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:00	Taloje	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 15:30	Malad	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 19:30	Dangarvadi	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 12:45	Mandve	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 19:15	Kotra Nes	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 15:30	Alibag	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 16:30	Revadanda	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 16:30	Murud	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 16:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 16:30	Srivardhan	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 19:15	Kodinar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 16:30	Bankot	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 16:30	Kelshi	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 19:00	Lodhwa	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 16:45	Anjanwel	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 01:15	Akri	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 19:15	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.3
	19 May 2021 19:15	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.3
	19 May 2021 19:15	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.3
	19 May 2021 19:15	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	17 May 2021 17:15	Guhagar	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 19:15	Sutrapada	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 17:00	Boria	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 01:15	Ghuar Mota	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 19:15	Somnath	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 19:15	Veraval	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:30	New Kandla	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:30	Navlakhi	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 16:45	Jaigarh	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 19:30	Chorwad	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:30	Tuna	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:00	Jodiya	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 16:45	Mirya	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 16:45	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:30	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:30	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 18:15	Jambura	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:30	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:30	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:15	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:15	Aramda	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:00	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 18:30	Mundra	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:45	Sika	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:45	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:00	Salaya	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:15	Navinal	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 17:15	Purnagad	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:45	Bhadia	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:45	Mandvi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:15	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:45	Gadechi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:45	Okha	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 23:45	Mangrol	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:30	Suthri	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 23:45	Shil	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 16:30	Purangad	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 17:15	Adiura	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 15:15	Gorser	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 15:30	Ratia	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:15	Dwarka	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 15:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 14:45	Pural	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 14:45	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	17 May 2021 14:45	Devgarh	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 07:30	Adodar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 07:30	Porbandar	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 14:45	Achra	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 08:30	Lamba	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 08:30	Miyani	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 19:30	Karwar	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 19:30	Belekeri	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 19:30	Ankola	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 19:30	Gokarn	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.1
	19 May 2021 16:00	Madhi	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 07:15	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 07:15	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:45	Bhogat	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 13:15	Shirali	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 13:15	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 13:15	Bainduru	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 13:15	Chittadi	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 19:15	Honavar	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 19:15	Manki	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 19:15	Mavalli	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 12:00	Atirampattinam	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 15:00	Vengurla	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 15:00	Terekhol	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 12:00	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 23:15	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.1
	20 May 2021 06:45	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 13:15	Kundapura	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 07:15	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 07:15	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 07:15	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 07:15	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 07:30	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 12:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 06:30	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 06:30	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 01:00	Kumta	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 15:00	Malvan	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 06:30	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 12:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	17 May 2021 14:15	Chopdem	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 14:15	Anjuna	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 15:00	Marmagao	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 15:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 15:00	Panaji	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 15:00	Agacaim	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 15:00	Madgaon	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 10:45	Udipi	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 11:45	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	19 May 2021 23:30	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.1
	20 May 2021 12:00	Kodigeri	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:45	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:45	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 23:15	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 23:15	Kalat	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 12:00	Vedaranyam	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 12:00	Vedaranniyam	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 07:15	Brar	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 18:00	Ammapatam	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 20:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.