Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOWARD-22
in Mexico
11 Aug 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOWARD-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (11 Aug 11:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.2 m 79 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 112 km/h 0.6 m 427 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Aug 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 11 09 Aug 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Aug 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Aug 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Aug 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 10 Aug 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 16 10 Aug 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 10 Aug 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 10 Aug 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 11 Aug 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 11 Aug 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala115,534
+
Mexico114,297 
Guatemala1,237 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala5,203,660
+
United States106,751 
Mexico2,836,308 
Guatemala2,260,600 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 221 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 153 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 85 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Aug 2022 18:00 130 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 11 09 Aug 2022 00:00 103 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 12 09 Aug 2022 06:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Aug 2022 12:00 102 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 09 Aug 2022 18:00 123 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 15 10 Aug 2022 00:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 16 10 Aug 2022 06:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 10 Aug 2022 12:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 10 Aug 2022 18:00 74 -
- - - - - United States, Guatemala
Blue 19 11 Aug 2022 00:00 78 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 20 11 Aug 2022 06:00 365 120 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in San Juanico, Mexico. This height is estimated for 11 Aug 2022 11:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Aug 2022 11:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 11:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 11:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
11 Aug 2022 07:45 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.2
11 Aug 2022 07:45 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.2
11 Aug 2022 07:45 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.2
11 Aug 2022 08:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 08:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 11:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 11:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 07:45 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 08:15 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 08:15 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 08:15 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
11 Aug 2022 08:45 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:45 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:45 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 07:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 07:45 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 07:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 07:30 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 07:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 07:30 La Majada Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 El Roble Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 08:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:30 Arista Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 10:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Muir Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Kentfield United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Tamalpais Valley United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Mill Valley United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Larkspur United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Almonte United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Green Brae United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Marin City United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Strawberry United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Corte Madera United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Sunset District United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Sausalito United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Edgemar United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 San Quentin United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Broadmoor United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Paradise Cay United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Stonestown United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Fort Winfield Scott United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Richmond District United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Daly City United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Tiburon United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Belvedere United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Colma United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Baden United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Little Osaka United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Fort McDowell United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 San Francisco United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Bayshore United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 South San Francisco United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 North Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Brisbane United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Bayview District United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 North Richmond United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Richmond United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 San Pablo United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Stege United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 East Richmond Heights United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 11:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 07:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 07:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 07:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 10:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 11:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Bayside United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Estes United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Rockport United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Fulton United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Holiday Beach United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 06:00 Lamar United States  0.1
11 Aug 2022 07:30 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 10:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 07:15 Mirador Mexico  0.1
11 Aug 2022 07:15 Ayutla Mexico  0.1