Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Oman, Yemen
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 149 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (13 Oct 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 149 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman, Yemen129433
+
Oman43478 
Other countries347 
Yemen85608 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 154 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 149 -
- - - - - Oman, Other countries, Yemen




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 130 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Tabut, Yemen. This height is estimated for 13 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Tabut Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Hayrut Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Nishtun Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 17:30 Haswayn Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Saqr Yemen  0.3
11 Oct 2018 01:15 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 05:15 Qashlu Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 05:15 Qadub Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 05:15 Hadiboh Yemen  0.2
10 Oct 2018 22:15 Boho Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 22:15 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 22:15 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 07:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:30 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:30 Eyl Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:30 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Jarub Yemen  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:00 Caluula Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:45 Araft Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:45 Salalah Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:45 Al Kathir Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:45 Sudh Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 19:30 Lakba Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 19:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 19:30 Lakabi Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 19:30 Qaysad Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 20:45 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 20:45 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 20:45 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 20:45 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 00:30 Mach Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 00:30 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Kambhat India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Kavi India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Sarod India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:00 Al Faydami Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Qishn Yemen  0.2
10 Oct 2018 22:30 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:15 Wadgam India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 09:30 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 20:30 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 20:30 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Al Fatk Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Damqawt Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Aantaara Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Buro Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Itab Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 10:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 02:15 Ghubbah Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Jadib Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:15 Advota India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:15 Chaudi India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 09:00 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 09:00 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Maydh Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 06:45 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 22:15 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 22:15 Duqm Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 09:45 Dhalqut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 09:45 Al Kharifut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 09:45 Safqut Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 19:45 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:15 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 18:00 Ascira Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 23:45 Qandala Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 23:45 Botiala Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:15 Hauf Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Asarsa India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Harinagar India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:00 Mughsayl Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 'Imran Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 00:30 Fararah Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 20:30 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Al Khubar Saudi Arabia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 00:15 Marero Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 00:15 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:30 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 09:45 Kharfat Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:15 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Dahej India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Tankari India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Muler India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 20:30 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 22:30 Miji Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
10 Oct 2018 21:15 Palghar India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 21:15 Mahim India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 21:15 Nalasopara India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:15 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:45 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:45 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
11 Oct 2018 17:15 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:45 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:45 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:45 Maallah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:00 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Ghogha India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 13:45 Kilmia Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:30 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:45 Marmagao India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:45 Panaji India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:45 Agacaim India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Gokarn India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Anteral Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:45 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:45 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:45 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:45 'Adan Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Badi Jamrah Bahrain  0.1
11 Oct 2018 01:30 Nafun Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Saylac Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 09:30 Taqah Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Qasasil Qatar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 04:15 Hasik Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 22:00 As Sirab Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Umm Bab Qatar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 01:30 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:00 Kinshia Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Jilah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:15 Dhurbo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:15 Bandar Murcaayo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:15 Geesaley Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:15 Abo Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 19:30 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 19:30 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 10:45 'Ag Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Hais Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:45 Kotada India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 21:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Qusayir Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Sarar Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Raida Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Hasana Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
11 Oct 2018 00:00 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:45 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Murad Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Berbera Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Marbat Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:15 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Quddam Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 19:00 Damka India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:45 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Burum Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Geeri Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:30 Mursays Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 04:45 Culli Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:00 As Sufal Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Belekeri India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Ankola India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Obock Djibouti  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Mahuva India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Musaina'a Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:45 Garahadde Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Khird Yemen  0.1

Calculation folder at this link