Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Oman, Yemen, Somalia
Exposed population 4 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (12 Oct 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 133 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

158 km/h

Up to 4 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Yemen4474 
Tropical StormOman, Yemen, Somalia688581
+
Oman3760 
Yemen682252 
Other countries303 
Somalia2266 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 154 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 133 4 thousand
- - - - Oman, Yemen, Other countries, Somalia




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Deh-Cabo, Somalia. This height is estimated for 12 Oct 2018 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Oct 2018 19:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.4
14 Oct 2018 08:30 Qishn Yemen  0.4
12 Oct 2018 21:15 Tabut Yemen  0.4
12 Oct 2018 21:15 Hayrut Yemen  0.4
12 Oct 2018 21:15 Nishtun Yemen  0.4
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Itab Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Musaina'a Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 11:45 Sarar Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 11:45 Raida Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 11:45 Hasana Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Bargaal Somalia  0.3
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Qusayir Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Dhafghan Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Hami Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Khird Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 20:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 20:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 21:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:30 Boho Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:30 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 17:45 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:45 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Saqr Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:15 Qashlu Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:15 Qadub Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:15 Hadiboh Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:00 Qandala Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:00 Botiala Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 19:30 Qaysad Oman  0.2
15 Oct 2018 00:45 Zulumah Yemen  0.2
15 Oct 2018 00:45 Burum Yemen  0.2
15 Oct 2018 00:45 Fuwwah Yemen  0.2
15 Oct 2018 00:45 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 21:15 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 21:15 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Aiesloho Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Mach Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:30 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:45 Biyafoge Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:45 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:45 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 17:15 Kambhat India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 17:15 Kavi India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 17:15 Sarod India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:15 Geeri Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:15 Marero Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:15 Bacaad Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:15 Aantaara Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:00 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 05:30 Haswayn Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:45 Laasqoray Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 19:30 Lakba Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 19:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 19:30 Lakabi Oman  0.2
15 Oct 2018 17:15 Wadgam India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:45 Ascira Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 20:15 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Mughsayl Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Jilah Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 09:00 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
13 Oct 2018 09:00 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 19:15 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:15 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Steroh Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Ankhor Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.2
13 Oct 2018 02:45 Buro Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:45 Caluula Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 00:15 As Sufal Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Gishub Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 01:30 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 01:30 'Imran Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 21:45 Ceelxarar Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Shaqra Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Saylac Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Eyl Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:15 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:15 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:15 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 23:15 As Sirab Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Maallah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 'Adan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Maydh Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 22:15 Fararah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Anteral Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:15 Hais Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Murad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Araft Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Salalah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Sudh Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 23:15 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:00 Advota India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:00 Chaudi India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:00 Majali India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Jarub Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Al Faydami Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:00 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:00 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:00 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:45 Ghubbah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Seyara Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:00 Karwar India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 22:45 Culli Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:15 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:00 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:00 Berbera Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:45 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 10:00 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 10:00 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:45 'Ag Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:45 Bir Ali Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:00 Miji Oman  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:45 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:45 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:00 Karmu Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:00 Idi Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:00 Halaba Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Dhurbo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Bandar Murcaayo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Geesaley Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Abo Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:45 Dhalqut Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:45 Al Kharifut Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:45 Safqut Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:30 Taqah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 18:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Mahuva India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Midi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Maushij Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Al Fatk Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Quddam Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Marbat Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Akara Pakistan  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:15 Gokarn India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 23:30 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Suhar Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Al 'Uwaynat Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 22:00 As Sahm Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Siqirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:45 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:00 Kotada India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 16:15 Asarsa India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 16:15 Harinagar India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:30 Nafun Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:00 Hasik Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 22:45 Ceel Mageed Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:15 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:30 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link