Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Oman, Yemen
Exposed population 2 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (14 Oct 09:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 139 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 2 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Yemen2172 
Tropical StormOman, Yemen386475
+
Oman7125 
Other countries308 
Yemen379042 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 154 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 139 2 thousand
- - - - Oman, Other countries, Yemen




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Qishn, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 09:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 09:45 Qishn Yemen  0.6
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.5
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Tabut Yemen  0.4
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Hayrut Yemen  0.4
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Nishtun Yemen  0.4
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Saqr Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Itab Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 06:00 Haswayn Yemen  0.3
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Boho Somalia  0.3
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.3
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Bereeda Somalia  0.3
12 Oct 2018 15:00 Bargaal Somalia  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Musaina'a Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Sarar Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Raida Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Hasana Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Qusayir Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:15 Qashlu Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:15 Qadub Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:15 Hadiboh Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Dhafghan Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Duqm Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 17:30 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Qaysad Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Aiesloho Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Mach Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:00 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:00 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Hami Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Qandala Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Botiala Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Ascira Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 As Sufal Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Marero Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Bacaad Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Aantaara Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Lakba Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:45 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Khird Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Laasqoray Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Ceel Dhahanaan Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:45 Biyafoge Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:45 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:45 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Geeri Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Rehayto Eritrea  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Qa'wa Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Lughaye Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Carmaale Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Xaafuun Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Kambhat India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Kavi India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Sarod India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:15 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:15 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:15 Jilah Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Steroh Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 20:15 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Saylac Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 19:00 Wadgam India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Marmagao India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Panaji India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Agacaim India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Madgaon India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Dhubab Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Mayyun Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Murad Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 23:00 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Miji Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Gishub Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Maushij Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Jirdan Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Buro Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Quddam Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Dauli Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 23:45 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 23:45 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 11:00 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Ghubbah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 'Imran Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 23:45 Caluula Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Hasik Oman  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:45 Anteral Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 23:15 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Hais Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Maydh Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Fararah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Mughsayl Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Jarub Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Faydami Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:00 Advota India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:00 Chaudi India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:00 Majali India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:00 Karwar India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Maallah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 'Adan Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 23:30 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 23:30 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Salalah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Sudh Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:15 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 22:30 Araft Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:15 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Karmu Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Idi Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Halaba Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:15 As Sirab Oman  0.1
15 Oct 2018 10:30 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 10:30 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 10:30 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 10:30 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Seyara Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Dhurbo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Bandar Murcaayo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Geesaley Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Abo Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:45 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:45 Burum Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:45 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:45 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:45 Culli Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:00 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:00 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:00 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Khadra' Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:15 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Garahadde Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:30 Babaiu Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:00 Berbera Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:45 Ceelxarar Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Obock Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Eyl Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:45 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:45 Dhalqut Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:45 Al Kharifut Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:45 Safqut Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:45 Ceel Mageed Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:00 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:15 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:45 Bir Ali Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:00 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:45 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Al Fatk Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 18:15 Asarsa India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 18:15 Harinagar India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:30 'Ag Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 18:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:45 Jadib Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:45 Hauf Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Mahuva India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Marbat Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:00 Mutra Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:45 Dahej India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:45 Tankari India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:45 Muler India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Darimoh Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:15 Ghogha India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Suhar Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Al 'Uwaynat Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 22:00 As Sahm Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Kotada India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Anjuna India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:30 Damqawt Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:30 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:30 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:30 Isa Pakistan  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:00 Taqah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Abacheri Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Sharkh Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Akara Pakistan  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:45 Siqirah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:00 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Debba Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Sheburur Eritrea  0.1

Calculation folder at this link