Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Oman, Yemen,
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (14 Oct 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 122 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Yemen7 
Tropical StormOman, Yemen415808
+
Oman246483 
Yemen168868 
Other countries457 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 154 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 13 Oct 2018 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 13 Oct 2018 12:00 122 Few people
- - - - Oman, Yemen, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 22 13 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 23 13 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Tabut, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 06:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Tabut Yemen  0.5
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Hayrut Yemen  0.5
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Nishtun Yemen  0.5
13 Oct 2018 16:30 Bargaal Somalia  0.3
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Saqr Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Haswayn Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Qishn Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.3
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Itab Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Qandala Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Botiala Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:30 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Ascira Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Aiesloho Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Mach Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Xaafuun Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:15 Qadub Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:15 Hadiboh Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 13:30 Ghubbah Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 13:30 Qashlu Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 11:00 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:45 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:45 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 13:45 Boho Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 13:45 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Cadayo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Bacaad Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Aantaara Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Buro Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Ankhor Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 18:45 Kambhat India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 18:45 Kavi India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 18:45 Sarod India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 18:30 Wadgam India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Geeri Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Laasqoray Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Biyafoge Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Jarub Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Al Faydami Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 11:45 Sharkhat Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.2
15 Oct 2018 11:00 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 11:00 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 11:00 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 11:00 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 17:45 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 17:45 Saylac Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:15 Lughaye Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:15 Carmaale Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:15 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:15 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Qaysad Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 17:30 As Sufal Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 04:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 04:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Jilah Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 19:30 Caluula Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Qa'wa Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Al Haibala Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Steroh Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Mughsayl Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Dhurbo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Bandar Murcaayo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Geesaley Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Abo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Ceel Dhahanaan Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Musaina'a Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Duqm Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 'Imran Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Gishub Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 21:30 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Murad Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Marero Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 'Adan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:15 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Maallah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:15 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Fatk Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Sarar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Raida Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Hasana Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Qusayir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Dhafghan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Ankola India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Gokarn India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:15 Asarsa India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:15 Harinagar India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:30 Anteral Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Advota India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Chaudi India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Majali India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Araft Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Khird Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Hami Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Maydh Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:15 Damqawt Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:15 Salalah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:15 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:15 Sudh Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 18:45 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Hais Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:00 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:00 Seyara Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:30 Miji Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Fararah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 18:30 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 18:30 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 18:30 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:00 Madgaon India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:00 Dahej India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:00 Tankari India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:00 Muler India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:45 Berbera Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Burum Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 16:45 Ghogha India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Kilmia Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Dhalqut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Al Kharifut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Safqut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Kharfat Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Eyl Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Taqah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:30 Quddam Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:30 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Jadib Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Hauf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 18:30 Lakba Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Bir Ali Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:30 'Ag Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Kinshia Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 09:30 Qawz al Ja'afirah Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 09:30 Mansiyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Culli Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 09:00 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 09:15 Hajambar Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 09:15 'Arid Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Ceelxarar Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 09:15 Jizan Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 09:00 Midi Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 21:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 21:00 Karwar India  0.1
16 Oct 2018 09:15 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:30 Karmu Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:30 Idi Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:30 Halaba Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 08:45 Al Karbus Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:00 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 21:30 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Belekeri India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Maushij Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 09:15 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 09:15 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 09:15 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 09:15 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 09:15 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link