Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Oman, Yemen
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (14 Oct 08:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 139 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

90 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Yemen646 
Tropical StormOman, Yemen428839
+
Oman4872 
Other countries339 
Yemen423628 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 154 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 139 Few people
- - - - Oman, Other countries, Yemen




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Qishn, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 08:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 08:45 Qishn Yemen  0.5
12 Oct 2018 05:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.5
12 Oct 2018 09:00 Bargaal Somalia  0.3
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Saqr Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Itab Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 06:00 Haswayn Yemen  0.3
12 Oct 2018 06:30 Tabut Yemen  0.3
12 Oct 2018 06:30 Hayrut Yemen  0.3
12 Oct 2018 06:30 Nishtun Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.3
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Boho Somalia  0.3
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.3
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Bereeda Somalia  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.3
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Shuwayr Oman  0.3
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Duqm Oman  0.3
12 Oct 2018 06:15 Qashlu Yemen  0.3
12 Oct 2018 06:15 Qadub Yemen  0.3
12 Oct 2018 06:15 Hadiboh Yemen  0.3
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.3
14 Oct 2018 11:45 Sarar Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 11:45 Raida Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 11:45 Hasana Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 11:45 Musaina'a Yemen  0.3
12 Oct 2018 09:30 Ascira Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 05:30 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 11:00 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
12 Oct 2018 11:00 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
12 Oct 2018 01:15 Qaysad Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 12:30 Qusayir Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 01:30 Lakba Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 01:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 01:30 Lakabi Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Dhafghan Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 05:45 Qandala Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 05:45 Botiala Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Hami Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Laasqoray Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Khird Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 00:45 Xaafuun Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 05:30 Mach Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Geeri Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 11:15 As Sirab Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 04:15 Rehayto Eritrea  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Ghubbah Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 07:15 Araft Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 07:15 Salalah Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 07:15 Al Kathir Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 07:15 Sudh Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 04:15 Quwayrah Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Aantaara Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Buro Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 11:30 'Imran Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 04:15 Fararah Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 05:00 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 05:00 Aiesloho Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 01:00 Al Fatk Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 04:15 Miji Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 04:15 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 04:15 Jarub Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Faydami Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 As Sufal Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 14:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 01:00 Gishub Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 01:00 Steroh Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 10:15 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Kambhat India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Kavi India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Sarod India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Lughaye Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Maydh Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Ankhor Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 04:30 Caluula Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Wadgam India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Marero Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Bacaad Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 06:30 Ceel Mageed Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 17:30 'Ag Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Anteral Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Jilah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Saylac Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Ceel Dhahanaan Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:15 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:45 Anjuna India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:45 Marmagao India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:45 Panaji India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:45 Agacaim India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:45 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:45 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 10:00 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 08:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:00 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:00 Maallah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:00 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 00:00 'Adan Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 09:45 Mughsayl Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Hais Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:15 Belekeri India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:15 Ankola India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:15 Gokarn India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 04:15 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 04:15 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Murad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Seyara Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 12:30 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 07:15 Majali India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Isa Pakistan  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:30 Hasik Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Burum Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Dhurbo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Bandar Murcaayo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Geesaley Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Abo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Berbera Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Madgaon India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:00 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:00 Eyl Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:00 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:15 Karwar India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:45 Nafun Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:15 Kilmia Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:00 Advota India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:00 Chaudi India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Garahadde Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Bir Ali Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Quddam Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 05:45 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 05:45 Maushij Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 05:45 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Karmu Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Idi Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Halaba Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:45 Asarsa India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:45 Harinagar India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Obock Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:30 Ghalat Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:30 Sharkh Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Alela Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:45 Ceelxarar Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:30 Taqah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:15 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:15 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:15 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 21:15 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 01:30 Siqirah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:30 Babaiu Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:45 Dahej India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:45 Tankari India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:45 Muler India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:30 Marbat Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:45 Ghogha India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:45 Jadib Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:45 Hauf Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:00 Had Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:15 Suhar Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:15 Al 'Uwaynat Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:15 As Sahm Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:30 Al Qurayyah United Arab Emirates  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:30 Khawr Fakkan United Arab Emirates  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:45 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:45 Khadra' Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:45 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:45 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:15 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 08:15 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:45 Dhalqut Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:45 Al Kharifut Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Dauli Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:30 Damqawt Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 08:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 08:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 08:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 10:00 Darimoh Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:45 Safqut Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:30 Filim Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 10:00 Culli Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:30 Sadh Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Akara Pakistan  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:45 Kharfat Oman  0.1

Calculation folder at this link