Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Oman, Yemen,
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (14 Oct 09:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 133 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

158 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Yemen143 
Tropical StormOman, Yemen322798
+
Oman5678 
Yemen316920 
Other countries200 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 154 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 133 Few people
- - - - Oman, Yemen, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Qishn, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 09:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 09:45 Qishn Yemen  0.4
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.4
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Saqr Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Bargaal Somalia  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Itab Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Tabut Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Hayrut Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Nishtun Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Haswayn Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Qusayir Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Sarar Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Raida Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Hasana Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Musaina'a Yemen  0.2
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Dhafghan Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:15 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Qandala Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Botiala Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Aiesloho Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Mach Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:15 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:15 Geeri Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 21:45 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 01:45 Lakba Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 01:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 01:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 01:45 Qaysad Oman  0.2
15 Oct 2018 16:45 Kambhat India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 16:45 Kavi India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 16:45 Sarod India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 04:00 Qadub Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 04:00 Hadiboh Yemen  0.2
15 Oct 2018 16:45 Wadgam India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Hami Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 12:30 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
15 Oct 2018 12:30 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Ankhor Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:15 Laasqoray Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Jilah Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 19:15 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Marero Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Bacaad Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Aantaara Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Gishub Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Steroh Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 01:30 Qa'wa Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 01:30 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 01:30 'Imran Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Khird Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:30 Boho Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:30 Caluula Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:00 Biyafoge Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:00 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 01:30 Buro Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Saylac Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:15 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 05:30 As Sufal Yemen  0.2
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 06:45 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 02:15 Ascira Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Eyl Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:45 Mughsayl Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Maallah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 'Adan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Jarub Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Al Faydami Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:15 Ghubbah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:15 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:30 Araft Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:30 Salalah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:30 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:30 Sudh Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:45 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:45 Anteral Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:15 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:00 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:00 Seyara Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:15 Hais Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Majali India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Karwar India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Murad Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:15 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:15 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Maydh Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Dhurbo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Bandar Murcaayo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Geesaley Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Abo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:15 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:15 As Sirab Oman  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:15 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:45 Berbera Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:30 Burum Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:30 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:30 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:30 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Miji Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:00 Fararah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Karmu Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Idi Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Halaba Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:45 Asarsa India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:45 Harinagar India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:45 Nafun Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:45 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Ceel Dhahanaan Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 07:00 Vengurla India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 07:00 Terekhol India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 07:00 Chopdem India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Bir Ali Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:30 Taqah Oman  0.1
15 Oct 2018 22:00 Hajambar Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Filim Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:00 Quddam Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:00 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Nait Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:45 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:45 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Debba Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Sheburur Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:30 Abacheri Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:15 Gokarn India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 09:30 Kotada India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 22:00 'Arid Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:45 Midi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Maushij Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:00 Siqirah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:45 Belekeri India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:45 Ankola India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:45 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 11:30 Al Fatk Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Marmagao India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Panaji India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Agacaim India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Madgaon India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Akara Pakistan  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:30 Advota India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:30 Chaudi India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Behld Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Beraisole Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Culli Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Safqut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Kharfat Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:30 Al Fujayrah United Arab Emirates  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:30 Al Qurayyah United Arab Emirates  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:30 Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:30 Khawr Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:30 Suhar Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:30 Al 'Uwaynat Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:30 As Sahm Oman  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:00 Dahej India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:00 Tankari India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:00 Muler India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:45 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:45 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:45 Isa Pakistan  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:45 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1

Calculation folder at this link