Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Oman, Yemen,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (13 Oct 18:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 137 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman, Yemen159164
+
Oman29343 
Yemen129579 
Other countries242 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 154 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Oman, Yemen, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 160 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Tabut, Yemen. This height is estimated for 13 Oct 2018 18:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Oct 2018 18:15 Tabut Yemen  0.4
13 Oct 2018 18:15 Hayrut Yemen  0.4
13 Oct 2018 18:15 Nishtun Yemen  0.4
13 Oct 2018 21:30 Qishn Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 17:30 Haswayn Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 20:30 Saqr Yemen  0.3
11 Oct 2018 11:15 Bargaal Somalia  0.3
11 Oct 2018 07:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.3
13 Oct 2018 18:15 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 18:15 Jarub Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Faydami Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 21:00 Itab Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 02:30 Quwayrah Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:00 Lakba Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:00 Lakabi Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:00 Qaysad Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 05:30 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 23:00 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 02:45 Ghubbah Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 02:45 Qashlu Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 02:45 Qadub Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 02:45 Hadiboh Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 08:30 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 08:30 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 23:45 Sharkhat Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 10:00 Eyl Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 04:30 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 04:30 Duqm Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 07:15 Araft Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 07:15 Salalah Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 07:15 Al Kathir Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 07:15 Sudh Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 23:45 Tamnum Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Al Fatk Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 11:30 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 00:30 Mach Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 00:30 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 10:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:15 Advota India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:15 Chaudi India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 08:30 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 05:00 Marero Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 05:00 Bacaad Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 05:00 Aantaara Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Buro Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Musaina'a Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 11:45 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.2
13 Oct 2018 23:45 Sarar Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 23:45 Raida Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 23:45 Hasana Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 23:45 Qusayir Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 17:30 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:00 Damqawt Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 22:45 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 22:45 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Kambhat India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Kavi India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Sarod India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Wadgam India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 10:00 As Sirab Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 00:45 Fararah Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Maydh Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 09:30 'Ag Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 02:30 Miji Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:00 Jadib Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 10:00 Culli Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 23:30 Boho Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 23:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 23:30 Bereeda Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 10:45 Ascira Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 10:45 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:15 Dhalqut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:30 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:30 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Jilah Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:00 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 11:45 Safqut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 11:45 Kharfat Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Hauf Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:00 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:00 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:30 Dhafghan Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:15 Mughsayl Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:30 Al Kharifut Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:45 Hasik Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Gokarn India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 23:00 Qandala Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 23:00 Botiala Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
11 Oct 2018 13:45 Kilmia Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 06:30 Ghalat Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 06:30 Sharkh Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:45 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:15 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:15 Nafun Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 21:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 21:30 Filim Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:45 Marmagao India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:45 Panaji India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:45 Agacaim India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 11:15 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 11:15 'Imran Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:30 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:00 Darimoh Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 20:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 20:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 20:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:00 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:00 Maallah Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:00 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:00 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:00 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:00 'Adan Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 09:30 Taqah Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:30 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Alela Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:00 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:00 Geeri Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 09:00 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:15 Dhurbo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:15 Bandar Murcaayo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:15 Geesaley Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 19:15 Abo Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 09:30 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 10:30 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Caluula Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 As Sufal Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Saylac Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Belekeri India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Ankola India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:00 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 13:45 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:45 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:45 Ceel Dhahanaan Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 01:15 Mutra Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 01:15 Siqirah Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:45 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Hami Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:15 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 05:00 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 05:00 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 05:00 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 05:00 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:15 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:15 Isa Pakistan  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:45 Hais Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Berbera Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:15 Madgaon India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Majali India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:45 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:45 Murad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:15 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:30 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:30 Burum Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:30 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:30 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 11:45 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:00 Kinshia Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:45 Seyara Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Khird Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:15 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Anteral Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:45 Mursays Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 03:45 Dawwah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:30 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:00 Marbat Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Mahuva India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Kotada India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:30 Quddam Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 05:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 05:45 Karwar India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:15 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
11 Oct 2018 08:15 Gishub Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 04:00 Dauli Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 07:45 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link