Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (07 Jul 02:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 76 km/h 0.5 m 428 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 2.5 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 194 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 779 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Jul 2020 02:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Jul 2020 02:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
07 Jul 2020 03:15 La Choya Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 03:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 04:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 04:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 01:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 01:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 05:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 03:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 05:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 05:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 05:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 05:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 05:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 05:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 05:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 05:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:30 Mulege Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:45 El Laurel Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Molino Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:30 Liliba Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 03:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 03:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Monteon Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 03:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 03:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 05:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 North Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Doyle United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Portland United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 Carpinteria United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 Rincon United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 Shepards United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 Punta United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 Faria United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 Dulah United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 Ventura United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Mission United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Montecito United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Summerland United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Serena Park United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:30 Oxnard United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Chola Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Isla Vista United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Goleta United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Palacios United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Simpsonville United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Corrales Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Pizota Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 Rosario Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Indianola United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Olivia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:15 Gregory United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Santiago Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:45 Nautla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 El Real Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 03:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Chula Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 05:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Joluta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link