Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (10 Jul 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 101 km/h 0.6 m 165 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 2.5 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico878 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 13 09 Jul 2020 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 14 10 Jul 2020 00:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 10 Jul 2020 06:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 428 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 324 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 426 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 317 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 261 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 297 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Jul 2020 18:00 160 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 10 Jul 2020 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 10 Jul 2020 06:00 245 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Jul 2020 12:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.6
10 Jul 2020 12:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.5
10 Jul 2020 11:30 El Tornillal Mexico  0.5
10 Jul 2020 11:30 La Choya Mexico  0.5
10 Jul 2020 11:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.5
10 Jul 2020 07:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
10 Jul 2020 07:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2020 11:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2020 10:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2020 07:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 11:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 08:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 08:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 08:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:45 Cedros Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Austwell United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 10:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 10:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 10:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 09:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 11:15 Spanish Village United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 08:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 08:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 08:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 10:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Mims United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Hoskins United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Port Morris United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Sea Isle United States  0.2
10 Jul 2020 10:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 08:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 08:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 08:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 10:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 12:00 Molino Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 07:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 08:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 10:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 10:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:30 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 La Lima Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Erendria Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 09:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 09:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 08:00 Tangair United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 08:00 Surf United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 08:00 Narlon United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Rincon United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Shepards United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Punta United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Faria United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Dulah United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Ventura United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Oxnard United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Freeport United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Quintana United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Surfside United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Naples United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Coromar United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Isla Vista United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Goleta United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Mission United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Carpinteria United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Castellammare United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Santa Monica United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Sawtelle United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Alsace United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 El Segundo United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Clifton United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Montecito United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Summerland United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Serena Park United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 10:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 10:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 10:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 10:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Coronado United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Boal United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:30 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:30 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 08:00 Arguello United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 08:00 Honda United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Capitan United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:30 Gulf Park United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:30 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:30 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 08:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Sacate United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Las Cruces United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Gaviota United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Lento United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:15 Tajiguas United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 San Pedro United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Wilmington United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Signal Hill United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Surfside United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Seal Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 07:00 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 09:00 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 09:00 Chula Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:45 Azure Vista United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:45 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:45 Roseville United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:45 Loma Portal United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:45 San Diego United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 10:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 10:15 The Muirlands United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 10:15 Mission Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 10:15 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:15 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 11:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 11:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 06:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link