Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (08 Jul 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 86 km/h 0.4 m 297 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 2.5 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico883 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 130 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico227 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 428 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 324 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 426 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 317 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 261 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 589 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Jul 2020 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Jul 2020 20:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2020 21:30 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 21:30 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 21:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 19:30 La Choya Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 El Tular Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Conejo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:45 La Mata Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Laja Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Salinas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Mims United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Hoskins United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Port Morris United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Sea Isle United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Cedros Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Tamiahua Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:45 El Naranjal Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Nautla Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:15 El Laurel Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Estes United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Rockport United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Fulton United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Lamar United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 Maudlowe United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 Tivoli United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 Austwell United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 Green Lake United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 North Seadrift United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 Long Mott United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 Seadrift United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Indianola United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Olivia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Weedhaven United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Surfside United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 San Pedro United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Wilmington United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Signal Hill United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Surfside United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Seal Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Freeport United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Quintana United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:00 La Presita Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:45 El Martillo United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:30 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:30 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:30 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 The Muirlands United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Azure Vista United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Mission Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Roseville United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Loma Portal United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 San Diego United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Coronado United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:15 Boal United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Rincon United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Shepards United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Punta United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Faria United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Dulah United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Ventura United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Oxnard United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:45 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:30 Palacios United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:30 Collegeport United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:30 Simpsonville United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:30 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Gulf Park United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1

Calculation folder at this link