Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (09 Jul 09:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 104 km/h 0.6 m 185 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 2.5 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico656 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 126 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico651 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 428 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 324 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 426 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 317 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 261 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 297 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 288 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2020 09:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Jul 2020 09:15 La Choya Mexico  0.6
09 Jul 2020 09:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.6
09 Jul 2020 10:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.6
09 Jul 2020 10:30 El Tornillal Mexico  0.5
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 10:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 06:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 10:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 10:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 10:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 06:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 10:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 06:15 El Barril Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Molino Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Ligui Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Tripui Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 07:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 06:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 06:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Hoskins United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Port Morris United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Sea Isle United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Mims United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 10:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Mulege Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 El Tular Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Surfside United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Surfside Beach United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Freeport United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Quintana United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Austwell United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 12:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Gulf Park United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Hoskins United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 10:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Veracruz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Rincon United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Shepards United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Punta United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Faria United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Dulah United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 San Buenaventura United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Ventura United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Oxnard United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:45 Laja Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Franciscan Village United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Carpinteria United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Isla Vista United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Goleta United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Hope Ranch United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Mission United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Montecito United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Summerland United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Serena Park United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 11:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:45 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 07:45 El Naranjal Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Coromar United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Naples United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Capitan United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:45 Port Alto United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:45 Carancahua United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:45 Palacios United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:45 Collegeport United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:45 Simpsonville United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:45 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:45 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:45 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:30 Point Comfort United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:30 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:30 Indianola United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:30 Olivia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:30 Weedhaven United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:30 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:30 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:30 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Lento United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:30 Tajiguas United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Tangair United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Narlon United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:45 Sacate United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:45 Las Cruces United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:45 Gaviota United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Surf United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 La Mata Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:45 San Augustine United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Matagorda United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:30 Estes United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:30 Rockport United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:30 Copano Village United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:30 Fulton United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:30 Lamar United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 La Presita Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Arguello United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:15 Honda United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:30 Salinas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:15 Boal United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 El Descanso Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 La Mision Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 09:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Conejo Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link