Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (10 Jul 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 104 km/h 0.4 m 160 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 2.5 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico658 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 13 09 Jul 2020 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 428 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 324 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 426 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 317 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 261 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 297 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Jul 2020 18:00 282 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Jul 2020 00:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 23:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 23:30 La Choya Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 23:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.4
10 Jul 2020 00:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 21:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 21:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 21:30 Molino Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 21:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 20:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 20:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 20:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 21:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 21:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 21:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 23:45 Maudlowe United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 23:45 Tivoli United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 23:45 Austwell United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 23:45 Green Lake United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 23:45 North Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 23:45 Long Mott United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 23:45 Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 20:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 19:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 19:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 23:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 22:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 22:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 23:45 Spanish Village United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 20:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 21:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 21:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 21:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 22:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 21:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 21:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 21:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 21:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 21:15 Cedros Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 20:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 22:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 22:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 23:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 23:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 23:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 22:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 23:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Rincon United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Shepards United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Punta United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Faria United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Dulah United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Ventura United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Oxnard United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:15 San Pedro United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Wilmington United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Signal Hill United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Surfside United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Seal Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 23:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 23:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 23:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 23:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 The Muirlands United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Azure Vista United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Mission Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Roseville United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Loma Portal United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 San Diego United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Coronado United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Boal United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Naples United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Coromar United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Isla Vista United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Goleta United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Mission United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:45 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:45 Point Comfort United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:45 Indianola United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:45 Olivia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:45 Weedhaven United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:45 Port Alto United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:45 Carancahua United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 23:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 23:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 23:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 23:30 Cunano Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:00 Conejo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 North Beach United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Doyle United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Portland United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:15 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:15 Estes United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:15 Rockport United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:15 Copano Village United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:15 Fulton United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:15 Lamar United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:30 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:30 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:30 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 19:45 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 23:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Capitan United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Castellammare United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Santa Monica United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Sawtelle United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Alsace United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 El Segundo United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Clifton United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:45 Erendria Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Sacate United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Las Cruces United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Gaviota United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Lento United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Tajiguas United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:30 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Montecito United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Summerland United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 Serena Park United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:30 San Augustine United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:00 Palacios United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:00 Simpsonville United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Mims United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 00:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:00 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:00 Carpinteria United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:15 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:15 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 21:00 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Newport Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 20:15 Bay Shores United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 22:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:15 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:15 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link