Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (08 Jul 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 94 km/h 0.4 m 261 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 2.5 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico878 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico227 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 428 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 324 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 426 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 317 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 418 Few people - -
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Jul 2020 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Jul 2020 14:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2020 15:15 La Choya Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2020 15:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2020 16:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 15:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 13:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 13:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 15:15 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 13:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 13:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 13:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 13:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 16:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 16:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 16:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 13:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 13:30 Molino Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 13:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 13:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 13:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 13:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 17:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 17:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 16:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 17:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 16:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 17:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 16:30 Mulege Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 16:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 16:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 15:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 15:45 Ligui Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 15:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 16:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:45 La Paz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:45 Rosario Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:15 Indianola United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:15 Olivia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:15 Weedhaven United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:15 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 17:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:30 Liliba Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Palacios United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Simpsonville United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Isla Vista United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Goleta United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Mission United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Montecito United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Summerland United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Serena Park United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Carpinteria United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Rincon United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Shepards United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Punta United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Faria United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Dulah United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 15:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:15 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:15 Ventura United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:15 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:15 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:15 Oxnard United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Naples United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Coromar United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Surfside United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Mims United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 15:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Freeport United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Quintana United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Capitan United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 15:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Lento United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Tajiguas United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 15:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:30 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Las Cruces United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Gaviota United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Sacate United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:45 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:45 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 14:45 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 17:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 San Augustine United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:15 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:15 Conejo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 16:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 13:45 Barron Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link