Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (07 Jul 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 94 km/h 0.4 m 426 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 2.5 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico232 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 158 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 428 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 324 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 612 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Jul 2020 17:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
07 Jul 2020 17:15 La Choya Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 17:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 16:30 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 16:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 17:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 16:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 16:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 13:15 Laja Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 13:15 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 13:45 El Naranjal Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Dimas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Isla Vista United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Goleta United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Mission United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Montecito United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Summerland United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Serena Park United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Carpinteria United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 13:15 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 13:15 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 13:15 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Rincon United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Shepards United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Punta United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 13:00 La Mata Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 13:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Faria United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Maudlowe United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Tivoli United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Austwell United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Green Lake United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 North Seadrift United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Long Mott United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Seadrift United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Dulah United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 13:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:15 Spanish Village United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Ventura United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Oxnard United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Erendria Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Coromar United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Naples United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 The Muirlands United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Azure Vista United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Mission Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Roseville United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Loma Portal United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 San Diego United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Coronado United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Boal United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:30 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link