Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CONSON-21
in Viet Nam, Philippines
13 Sep 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CONSON-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Paracel Islands
Exposed population 10 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 166 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (11 Sep 00:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 166 km/h 0.6 m 1105 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 166 km/h 0.6 m 1105 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

166 km/h

Up to 10 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Philippines280 
CAT. 1Philippines11,606 
Tropical StormJapan, Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Paracel Islands3,544,008
+
Japan90,500 
Taiwan4,076 
Philippines3,423,353 
Vietnam26,034 
Paracel Islands43 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 4 07 Sep 2021 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 5 07 Sep 2021 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 6 08 Sep 2021 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 7 08 Sep 2021 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 8 09 Sep 2021 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 09 Sep 2021 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Sep 2021 00:00 169 -
- - - - - Paracel Islands
GREEN 11 10 Sep 2021 12:00 158 1 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Paracel Islands
GREEN 12 11 Sep 2021 00:00 176 10 thousand
- - - Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam
GREEN 13 11 Sep 2021 12:00 155 -
- - - - - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines
GREEN 14 12 Sep 2021 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines
GREEN 15 12 Sep 2021 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Japan, Taiwan
GREEN 16 13 Sep 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmVietnam517 
750-1000 mmVietnam81,423 
500-750 mmPhilippines, Vietnam1,224,224
+
Vietnam1,171,467 
Philippines52,756 
250-500 mmTaiwan, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam, Laos, Myanmar, Cambodia, Malaysia22,361,343
+
Myanmar563,427 
Taiwan33 
Vietnam4,599,911 
Laos639,291 
Philippines14,767,082 
Thailand1,468,280 
Cambodia319,724 
Malaysia3,592 
100-250 mmChina, Myanmar, Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Palau, Malaysia186,991,586
+
China2,761,150 
Japan154,559 
Myanmar1,706,818 
Taiwan2,232,586 
Vietnam53,616,340 
Laos4,086,509 
Philippines62,820,853 
Thailand50,079,920 
Paracel Islands455 
Cambodia8,809,197 
Malaysia721,336 
Palau1,858 
50-100 mmChina, Japan, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia, Malaysia, Brunei174,973,980
+
China80,324,505 
Japan1,235,921 
Myanmar968,713 
Taiwan12,326,737 
Vietnam30,842,171 
Laos1,790,011 
Philippines21,724,459 
Thailand11,668,191 
Cambodia6,402,070 
Malaysia7,632,056 
Brunei59,140 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2021 12:00 315 180 thousand
- - - - Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 2 06 Sep 2021 00:00 309 20 thousand
- - - China, Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 304 500 thousand
- - - China, Paracel Islands, Philippines
Blue 4 07 Sep 2021 00:00 286 820 thousand
- - - China, Philippines, Vietnam
Blue 5 07 Sep 2021 12:00 344 1.7 million
- - - China, Vietnam, Laos, Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia, Malaysia
Blue 6 08 Sep 2021 00:00 273 13.7 million
- - - China, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia
Blue 7 08 Sep 2021 12:00 332 400 thousand
- - - - Vietnam, Thailand, Laos, Philippines, Cambodia, Myanmar
Blue 8 09 Sep 2021 00:00 313 -
- - - - - Thailand, Vietnam, Myanmar, Cambodia, Philippines
Blue 9 09 Sep 2021 12:00 283 -
- - - - - Thailand, Paracel Islands, Myanmar, Laos, Philippines
Blue 10 10 Sep 2021 00:00 334 30 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Thailand, Paracel Islands
Blue 11 10 Sep 2021 12:00 335 500 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia
Blue 12 11 Sep 2021 00:00 324 1.8 million
- - - Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Laos
Blue 13 11 Sep 2021 12:00 336 2.1 million
- - - Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia
Blue 14 12 Sep 2021 00:00 329 440 thousand
- - - Taiwan, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Laos
Blue 15 12 Sep 2021 12:00 135 -
- - - - - China, Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam, Thailand
Blue 16 13 Sep 2021 00:00 259 1.6 million
- - - - China, Japan, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mPhilippines438 
0.25 - 0.5 mChina, Taiwan, Japan, Vietnam, Philippines4,042,015
+
China1,585,282 
Taiwan96,912 
Japan6,826 
Vietnam1,178,690 
Philippines1,174,303 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2021 00:00 UTC